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Millet in Boromo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

214–302

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

177–305

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 214 and 302 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 177 and 305 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Boromo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 214 and 302 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 177 and 305 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 228–271 243 215–297 358 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 217–288 245 209–316 356 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 214–302 245 199–313 363 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 190–310 242 133–347 340 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 177–305 239 118–382 320 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026246
Aug 2026239
Jul 2026233
Jun 2026236
May 2026234
Apr 2026247
Mar 2026257
Feb 2026253
Jan 2026246
Dec 2025252
Nov 2025262
Oct 2025254
Sept 2025271
Aug 2025282
Jul 2025334
Jun 2025358
May 2025358
Apr 2025358
Mar 2025394
Feb 2025374
Jan 2025361
Dec 2024397
Nov 2024397
Oct 2024402
Sept 2024411
Aug 2024412
Jul 2024343
Jun 2024325
May 2024307
Apr 2024307
Mar 2024295
Feb 2024274
Jan 2024286
Dec 2023286
Nov 2023297
Oct 2023296
Sept 2023296
Aug 2023286
Jul 2023295
Jun 2023286
May 2023313
Apr 2023314
Mar 2023314
Feb 2023308
Jan 2023303
Dec 2022333
Nov 2022395
Oct 2022383
Sept 2022401
Aug 2022394
Jul 2022383
Jun 2022357
May 2022348
Apr 2022348
Mar 2022274
Feb 2022248
Jan 2022244
Dec 2021247
Nov 2021253
Oct 2021226
Sept 2021230
Aug 2021228
Jul 2021225
Jun 2021225
May 2021243
Apr 2021254
Mar 2021238
Feb 2021244
Jan 2021227
Dec 2020261
Nov 2020264
Oct 2020245
Sept 2020242
Aug 2020245
Jul 2020199
Jun 2020191
May 2020199
Apr 2020185
Mar 2020180
Feb 2020162
Jan 2020148
Dec 2019148
Nov 2019146
Oct 2019163
Sept 2019157
Aug 2019163
Jul 2019159
Jun 2019157
May 2019183
Apr 2019175
Mar 2019169
Feb 2019158
Jan 2019169
Dec 2018194
Nov 2018226
Oct 2018240
Sept 2018243
Aug 2018242
Jul 2018246
Jun 2018246
May 2018247
Apr 2018226
Mar 2018224
Feb 2018224
Jan 2018209
Dec 2017228
Nov 2017274
Oct 2017242
Sept 2017241
Aug 2017215
Jul 2017208
Jun 2017221
May 2017206
Apr 2017201
Mar 2017174
Feb 2017170
Jan 2017175
Dec 2016175
Nov 2016185
Oct 2016182
Sept 2016174
Aug 2016173
Jul 2016171
Jun 2016171
May 2016171
Apr 2016171
Mar 2016177
Feb 2016173
Jan 2016177
Dec 2015170
Nov 2015173
Oct 2015182
Sept 2015190
Aug 2015190
Jul 2015186
Jun 2015186
May 2015176
Apr 2015180
Mar 2015165
Feb 2015158
Jan 2015155

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3364-73-retail-kg.