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Food basket in Boromo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,138–4,357

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,625–4,539

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,581 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,138 and 4,357 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,625 and 4,539 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Boromo: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,581 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,138 and 4,357 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,625 and 4,539 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,433–4,029 3,647 3,264–4,369
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,272–4,205 3,657 3,099–4,578
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,138–4,357 3,631 2,820–4,564
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,862–4,506 3,616 2,114–5,096
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,625–4,539 3,618 1,885–5,488
Cost history (140 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,663
Aug 20263,581
Jul 20263,525
Jun 20263,583
May 20263,600
Apr 20263,749
Mar 20263,874
Feb 20263,821
Jan 20263,737
Dec 20253,857
Nov 20253,904
Oct 20253,930
Sept 20254,283
Aug 20254,482
Jul 20255,185
Jun 20255,509
May 20255,563
Apr 20255,594
Mar 20256,019
Feb 20255,773
Jan 20255,637
Dec 20245,803
Nov 20245,745
Oct 20246,084
Sept 20246,323
Aug 20246,220
Jul 20245,212
Jun 20244,832
May 20244,665
Apr 20244,600
Mar 20244,411
Feb 20244,060
Jan 20244,177
Dec 20234,139
Nov 20234,248
Oct 20234,218
Sept 20234,218
Aug 20234,075
Jul 20234,183
Jun 20234,089
May 20234,424
Apr 20234,466
Mar 20234,475
Feb 20234,403
Jan 20234,324
Dec 20224,655
Nov 20225,397
Oct 20225,356
Sept 20225,773
Aug 20225,722
Jul 20225,590
Jun 20225,278
May 20225,231
Apr 20225,170
Mar 20224,282
Feb 20223,961
Jan 20223,844
Dec 20213,803
Nov 20213,866
Oct 20213,612
Sept 20213,818
Aug 20213,643
Jul 20213,445
Jun 20213,415
May 20213,627
Apr 20213,829
Mar 20213,630
Feb 20213,661
Jan 20213,457
Dec 20203,622
Nov 20203,726
Oct 20203,554
Sept 20203,498
Aug 20203,521
Jul 20202,960
Jun 20202,870
May 20202,969
Apr 20202,812
Mar 20202,738
Feb 20202,527
Jan 20202,269
Dec 20192,260
Nov 20192,240
Oct 20192,507
Sept 20192,428
Aug 20192,519
Jul 20192,462
Jun 20192,478
May 20192,776
Apr 20192,649
Mar 20192,539
Feb 20192,393
Jan 20192,514
Dec 20182,814
Nov 20183,288
Oct 20183,568
Sept 20183,672
Aug 20183,667
Jul 20183,704
Jun 20183,706
May 20183,722
Apr 20183,437
Mar 20183,417
Feb 20183,412
Jan 20183,170
Dec 20173,352
Nov 20173,889
Oct 20173,516
Sept 20173,542
Aug 20173,201
Jul 20173,104
Jun 20173,260
May 20173,080
Apr 20173,020
Mar 20172,696
Feb 20172,648
Jan 20172,698
Dec 20162,651
Nov 20162,767
Oct 20162,729
Sept 20162,716
Aug 20162,731
Jul 20162,727
Jun 20162,727
May 20162,727
Apr 20162,707
Mar 20162,754
Feb 20162,690
Jan 20162,642
Dec 20152,508
Nov 20152,542
Oct 20152,704
Sept 20152,901
Aug 20152,825
Jul 20152,758
Jun 20152,758
May 20152,632
Apr 20152,655
Mar 20152,471
Feb 20152,384

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508