Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in Boulsa

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

248–401

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

260–455

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 248 and 401 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 260 and 455 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Boulsa: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 248 and 401 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 260 and 455 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 305–378 338 300–416 458 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 251–392 315 222–407 376 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 248–401 316 193–439 384 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 242–415 314 192–470 390 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 260–455 340 214–473 439 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026319
Aug 2026340
Jul 2026328
Jun 2026340
May 2026390
Apr 2026361
Mar 2026366
Feb 2026360
Jan 2026361
Dec 2025360
Nov 2025353
Oct 2025353
Sept 2025378
Aug 2025448
Jul 2025495
Jun 2025476
May 2025489
Apr 2025566
Mar 2025556
Feb 2025564
Jan 2025638
Dec 2024417
Nov 2024377
Oct 2024492
Sept 2024603
Aug 2024550
Jul 2024498
Jun 2024485
May 2024477
Apr 2024403
Mar 2024399
Feb 2024399
Jan 2024349
Dec 2023322
Nov 2023311
Oct 2023262
Sept 2023257
Aug 2023251
Jul 2023244
Jun 2023267
May 2023266
Apr 2023255
Mar 2023257
Feb 2023285
Jan 2023311
Dec 2022307
Nov 2022312
Oct 2022299
Sept 2022362
Aug 2022441
Jul 2022454
Jun 2022489
May 2022494
Apr 2022508
Mar 2022513
Feb 2022480
Jan 2022447
Dec 2021425
Nov 2021424
Oct 2021362
Sept 2021548
Aug 2021461
Jul 2021419
Jun 2021401
May 2021300
Apr 2021354
Mar 2021338
Feb 2021314
Jan 2021309
Dec 2020254
Nov 2020253
Oct 2020237
Sept 2020285
Aug 2020259
Jul 2020256
Jun 2020256
May 2020255
Apr 2020254
Mar 2020249
Feb 2020234
Jan 2020236
Dec 2019190
Nov 2019189
Oct 2019186
Sept 2019213
Aug 2019216
Jul 2019216
Jun 2019208
May 2019245
Apr 2019255
Mar 2019269
Feb 2019267
Jan 2019261
Dec 2018251
Nov 2018248
Oct 2018250
Sept 2018332
Aug 2018344
Jul 2018351
Jun 2018350
May 2018339
Apr 2018327
Mar 2018354
Feb 2018334
Jan 2018298
Dec 2017262
Nov 2017277
Oct 2017264
Sept 2017323
Aug 2017316
Jul 2017318
Jun 2017319
May 2017316
Apr 2017309
Mar 2017300
Feb 2017273
Jan 2017248
Dec 2016241
Nov 2016228
Oct 2016236
Sept 2016323
Aug 2016305
Jul 2016282
Jun 2016289
May 2016284
Apr 2016279
Mar 2016267
Feb 2016278
Jan 2016265
Dec 2015230
Nov 2015223
Oct 2015228
Sept 2015268
Aug 2015246
Jul 2015256
Jun 2015285
May 2015257
Apr 2015232
Mar 2015232
Feb 2015238

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3365-120-retail-kg.