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Sorghum (white) in Boulsa

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

152–212

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

151–226

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 152 and 212 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 151 and 226 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Boulsa: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 152 and 212 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 151 and 226 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 177–206 187 165–216 289 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 165–211 187 154–221 271 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 152–212 185 128–223 253 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 143–219 183 97.7–251 245 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 151–226 189 127–275 263 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026190
Aug 2026188
Jul 2026192
Jun 2026195
May 2026202
Apr 2026205
Mar 2026202
Feb 2026197
Jan 2026202
Dec 2025215
Nov 2025211
Oct 2025235
Sept 2025245
Aug 2025266
Jul 2025276
Jun 2025286
May 2025288
Apr 2025290
Mar 2025289
Feb 2025283
Jan 2025282
Dec 2024258
Nov 2024285
Oct 2024288
Sept 2024309
Aug 2024318
Jul 2024315
Jun 2024292
May 2024279
Apr 2024275
Mar 2024266
Feb 2024243
Jan 2024242
Dec 2023242
Nov 2023243
Oct 2023232
Sept 2023225
Aug 2023226
Jul 2023223
Jun 2023228
May 2023234
Apr 2023217
Mar 2023219
Feb 2023244
Jan 2023215
Dec 2022195
Nov 2022197
Oct 2022266
Sept 2022303
Aug 2022311
Jul 2022303
Jun 2022287
May 2022285
Apr 2022297
Mar 2022278
Feb 2022261
Jan 2022243
Dec 2021193
Nov 2021177
Oct 2021176
Sept 2021177
Aug 2021166
Jul 2021161
Jun 2021178
May 2021186
Apr 2021183
Mar 2021165
Feb 2021151
Jan 2021143
Dec 2020140
Nov 2020128
Oct 2020140
Sept 2020175
Aug 2020159
Jul 2020148
Jun 2020147
May 2020146
Apr 2020145
Mar 2020145
Feb 2020144
Jan 2020145
Dec 2019133
Nov 2019137
Oct 2019143
Sept 2019143
Aug 2019143
Jul 2019139
Jun 2019137
May 2019159
Apr 2019159
Mar 2019157
Feb 2019160
Jan 2019141
Dec 2018138
Nov 2018158
Oct 2018173
Sept 2018185
Aug 2018190
Jul 2018195
Jun 2018192
May 2018192
Apr 2018181
Mar 2018195
Feb 2018179
Jan 2018158
Dec 2017134
Nov 2017158
Oct 2017156
Sept 2017159
Aug 2017159
Jul 2017162
Jun 2017163
May 2017165
Apr 2017163
Mar 2017154
Feb 2017149
Jan 2017135
Dec 2016128
Nov 2016138
Oct 2016154
Sept 2016174
Aug 2016159
Jul 2016148
Jun 2016149
May 2016147
Apr 2016143
Mar 2016144
Feb 2016148
Jan 2016136
Dec 2015143
Nov 2015133
Oct 2015155
Sept 2015153
Aug 2015158
Jul 2015163
Jun 2015168
May 2015160
Apr 2015145
Mar 2015143
Feb 2015147
Jan 2015139

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3365-135-retail-kg.