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Maize (white) in Boulsa

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

183–239

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

166–248

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 183 and 239 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 166 and 248 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Boulsa: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 183 and 239 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 166 and 248 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 196–226 208 184–227 300 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 191–230 209 179–234 299 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 183–239 208 155–239 292 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 174–243 208 134–254 288 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 166–248 207 119–281 282 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026208
Aug 2026207
Jul 2026208
Jun 2026205
May 2026217
Apr 2026216
Mar 2026208
Feb 2026203
Jan 2026216
Dec 2025247
Nov 2025240
Oct 2025254
Sept 2025257
Aug 2025270
Jul 2025274
Jun 2025282
May 2025294
Apr 2025290
Mar 2025281
Feb 2025280
Jan 2025269
Dec 2024285
Nov 2024290
Oct 2024303
Sept 2024300
Aug 2024300
Jul 2024300
Jun 2024268
May 2024268
Apr 2024265
Mar 2024267
Feb 2024260
Jan 2024267
Dec 2023273
Nov 2023272
Oct 2023269
Sept 2023270
Aug 2023269
Jul 2023261
Jun 2023277
May 2023271
Apr 2023268
Mar 2023268
Feb 2023264
Jan 2023261
Dec 2022264
Nov 2022269
Oct 2022292
Sept 2022300
Aug 2022298
Jul 2022293
Jun 2022297
May 2022297
Apr 2022297
Mar 2022289
Feb 2022263
Jan 2022259
Dec 2021257
Nov 2021256
Oct 2021252
Sept 2021244
Aug 2021230
Jul 2021227
Jun 2021216
May 2021211
Apr 2021204
Mar 2021201
Feb 2021193
Jan 2021170
Dec 2020172
Nov 2020190
Oct 2020190
Sept 2020182
Aug 2020182
Jul 2020166
Jun 2020166
May 2020159
Apr 2020155
Mar 2020155
Feb 2020151
Jan 2020151
Dec 2019150
Nov 2019150
Oct 2019148
Sept 2019147
Aug 2019148
Jul 2019166
Jun 2019168
May 2019166
Apr 2019165
Mar 2019164
Feb 2019168
Jan 2019162
Dec 2018164
Nov 2018157
Oct 2018180
Sept 2018192
Aug 2018195
Jul 2018194
Jun 2018196
May 2018194
Apr 2018193
Mar 2018192
Feb 2018190
Jan 2018189
Dec 2017181
Nov 2017191
Oct 2017184
Sept 2017185
Aug 2017187
Jul 2017183
Jun 2017174
May 2017176
Apr 2017173
Mar 2017175
Feb 2017173
Jan 2017174
Dec 2016176
Nov 2016179
Oct 2016181
Sept 2016181
Aug 2016186
Jul 2016200
Jun 2016196
May 2016183
Apr 2016183
Mar 2016184
Feb 2016189
Jan 2016182
Dec 2015189
Nov 2015201
Oct 2015197
Sept 2015176
Aug 2015169
Jul 2015170
Jun 2015171
May 2015171
Apr 2015173
Mar 2015173
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015174

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3365-67-retail-kg.