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Millet in Boulsa

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 17% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

235–354

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

199–376

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 235 and 354 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 376 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Boulsa: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 235 and 354 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 376 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 583); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 260–325 291 251–332 360 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 249–343 293 238–369 360 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 235–354 288 200–372 350 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 201–355 280 124–480 312 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 199–376 284 116–583 326 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026311
Aug 2026288
Jul 2026284
Jun 2026312
May 2026330
Apr 2026318
Mar 2026311
Feb 2026286
Jan 2026286
Dec 2025274
Nov 2025313
Oct 2025288
Sept 2025296
Aug 2025337
Jul 2025354
Jun 2025359
May 2025362
Apr 2025366
Mar 2025371
Feb 2025353
Jan 2025311
Dec 2024282
Nov 2024364
Oct 2024330
Sept 2024341
Aug 2024358
Jul 2024356
Jun 2024361
May 2024332
Apr 2024326
Mar 2024303
Feb 2024274
Jan 2024262
Dec 2023262
Nov 2023263
Oct 2023253
Sept 2023246
Aug 2023245
Jul 2023248
Jun 2023259
May 2023245
Apr 2023247
Mar 2023248
Feb 2023278
Jan 2023245
Dec 2022236
Nov 2022317
Oct 2022390
Sept 2022394
Aug 2022381
Jul 2022352
Jun 2022340
May 2022326
Apr 2022328
Mar 2022321
Feb 2022295
Jan 2022257
Dec 2021232
Nov 2021230
Oct 2021210
Sept 2021205
Aug 2021198
Jul 2021194
Jun 2021210
May 2021214
Apr 2021209
Mar 2021196
Feb 2021176
Jan 2021160
Dec 2020164
Nov 2020191
Oct 2020197
Sept 2020205
Aug 2020180
Jul 2020164
Jun 2020160
May 2020163
Apr 2020163
Mar 2020162
Feb 2020156
Jan 2020149
Dec 2019146
Nov 2019156
Oct 2019155
Sept 2019148
Aug 2019144
Jul 2019150
Jun 2019148
May 2019174
Apr 2019171
Mar 2019172
Feb 2019177
Jan 2019169
Dec 2018166
Nov 2018198
Oct 2018213
Sept 2018220
Aug 2018229
Jul 2018239
Jun 2018224
May 2018227
Apr 2018209
Mar 2018228
Feb 2018221
Jan 2018196
Dec 2017169
Nov 2017190
Oct 2017214
Sept 2017203
Aug 2017188
Jul 2017195
Jun 2017200
May 2017183
Apr 2017188
Mar 2017173
Feb 2017161
Jan 2017149
Dec 2016147
Nov 2016143
Oct 2016167
Sept 2016170
Aug 2016171
Jul 2016165
Jun 2016165
May 2016161
Apr 2016160
Mar 2016154
Feb 2016157
Jan 2016159
Dec 2015144
Nov 2015141
Oct 2015164
Sept 2015162
Aug 2015162
Jul 2015174
Jun 2015180
May 2015171
Apr 2015159
Mar 2015163
Feb 2015160
Jan 2015153

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3365-73-retail-kg.