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Food basket in Boulsa

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,320–4,886

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,937–5,330

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,068 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,320 and 4,886 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,937 and 5,330 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Boulsa: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,068 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,320 and 4,886 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,937 and 5,330 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,041); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,736–4,520 4,096 3,593–4,634
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,548–4,742 4,094 3,316–5,090
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,320–4,886 4,069 2,834–5,189
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,946–4,957 3,964 1,983–6,288
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,937–5,330 4,014 1,891–8,041
Cost history (140 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,306
Aug 20264,068
Jul 20263,998
Jun 20264,356
May 20264,662
Apr 20264,466
Mar 20264,391
Feb 20264,080
Jan 20264,082
Dec 20253,936
Nov 20254,391
Oct 20254,091
Sept 20254,232
Aug 20254,850
Jul 20255,139
Jun 20255,165
May 20255,224
Apr 20255,411
Mar 20255,453
Feb 20255,251
Jan 20254,880
Dec 20244,135
Nov 20245,047
Oct 20244,846
Sept 20245,177
Aug 20245,286
Jul 20245,168
Jun 20245,205
May 20244,843
Apr 20244,637
Mar 20244,354
Feb 20244,006
Jan 20243,772
Dec 20233,724
Nov 20233,716
Oct 20233,508
Sept 20233,415
Aug 20233,392
Jul 20233,415
Jun 20233,589
May 20233,419
Apr 20233,423
Mar 20233,439
Feb 20233,849
Jan 20233,500
Dec 20223,385
Nov 20224,366
Oct 20225,218
Sept 20225,380
Aug 20225,366
Jul 20225,041
Jun 20224,960
May 20224,801
Apr 20224,850
Mar 20224,775
Feb 20224,404
Jan 20223,889
Dec 20213,549
Nov 20213,523
Oct 20213,172
Sept 20213,446
Aug 20213,206
Jul 20213,082
Jun 20213,242
May 20213,108
Apr 20213,145
Mar 20212,960
Feb 20212,677
Jan 20212,476
Dec 20202,425
Nov 20202,747
Oct 20202,791
Sept 20202,973
Aug 20202,626
Jul 20202,429
Jun 20202,381
May 20202,415
Apr 20202,413
Mar 20202,392
Feb 20202,293
Jan 20202,213
Dec 20192,094
Nov 20192,212
Oct 20192,195
Sept 20192,159
Aug 20192,117
Jul 20192,189
Jun 20192,150
May 20192,529
Apr 20192,511
Mar 20192,548
Feb 20192,605
Jan 20192,498
Dec 20182,444
Nov 20182,822
Oct 20183,006
Sept 20183,238
Aug 20183,367
Jul 20183,500
Jun 20183,318
May 20183,334
Apr 20183,097
Mar 20183,373
Feb 20183,253
Jan 20182,888
Dec 20172,500
Nov 20172,779
Oct 20173,043
Sept 20173,017
Aug 20172,825
Jul 20172,912
Jun 20172,974
May 20172,765
Apr 20172,812
Mar 20172,616
Feb 20172,423
Jan 20172,234
Dec 20162,198
Nov 20162,126
Oct 20162,429
Sept 20162,621
Aug 20162,601
Jul 20162,488
Jun 20162,500
May 20162,443
Apr 20162,422
Mar 20162,329
Feb 20162,384
Jan 20162,385
Dec 20152,142
Nov 20152,093
Oct 20152,378
Sept 20152,426
Aug 20152,387
Jul 20152,549
Jun 20152,673
May 20152,515
Apr 20152,326
Mar 20152,374
Feb 20152,348

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508