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Beans (niebe) in Dano

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

274–438

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

295–498

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 274 and 438 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 295 and 498 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Dano: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 274 and 438 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 295 and 498 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 357–419 391 312–439 518 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 297–431 369 217–462 440 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 274–438 347 218–503 424 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 274–459 368 182–510 456 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 295–498 385 228–540 499 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026411
Aug 2026393
Jul 2026390
Jun 2026386
May 2026378
Apr 2026417
Mar 2026406
Feb 2026413
Jan 2026410
Dec 2025381
Nov 2025376
Oct 2025423
Sept 2025491
Aug 2025542
Jul 2025588
Jun 2025593
May 2025621
Apr 2025630
Mar 2025670
Feb 2025635
Jan 2025643
Dec 2024567
Nov 2024428
Oct 2024462
Sept 2024756
Aug 2024672
Jul 2024596
Jun 2024528
May 2024515
Apr 2024493
Mar 2024484
Feb 2024421
Jan 2024400
Dec 2023339
Nov 2023321
Oct 2023319
Sept 2023310
Aug 2023297
Jul 2023300
Jun 2023297
May 2023326
Apr 2023333
Mar 2023331
Feb 2023332
Jan 2023342
Dec 2022342
Nov 2022341
Oct 2022394
Sept 2022494
Aug 2022519
Jul 2022524
Jun 2022520
May 2022522
Apr 2022491
Mar 2022522
Feb 2022508
Jan 2022512
Dec 2021457
Nov 2021438
Oct 2021382
Sept 2021508
Aug 2021474
Jul 2021424
Jun 2021430
May 2021418
Apr 2021401
Mar 2021377
Feb 2021373
Jan 2021347
Dec 2020329
Nov 2020296
Oct 2020320
Sept 2020312
Aug 2020319
Jul 2020308
Jun 2020305
May 2020308
Apr 2020311
Mar 2020305
Feb 2020317
Jan 2020270
Dec 2019257
Nov 2019235
Oct 2019235
Sept 2019241
Aug 2019258
Jul 2019277
Jun 2019291
May 2019308
Apr 2019311
Mar 2019318
Feb 2019325
Jan 2019318
Dec 2018303
Nov 2018303
Oct 2018308
Sept 2018386
Aug 2018381
Jul 2018388
Jun 2018374
May 2018371
Apr 2018386
Mar 2018370
Feb 2018374
Jan 2018369
Dec 2017320
Nov 2017298
Oct 2017312
Sept 2017342
Aug 2017365
Jul 2017360
Jun 2017342
May 2017342
Apr 2017342
Mar 2017342
Feb 2017342
Jan 2017338
Dec 2016300
Nov 2016276
Oct 2016290
Sept 2016352
Aug 2016356
Jul 2016356
Jun 2016356
May 2016356
Apr 2016356
Mar 2016344
Feb 2016355
Jan 2016351
Dec 2015246
Nov 2015232
Oct 2015259
Sept 2015333
Aug 2015337
Jul 2015287
Jun 2015277
May 2015275
Apr 2015268
Mar 2015242
Feb 2015236

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3366-120-retail-kg.