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Maize (white) in Dano

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 35% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

96.8–149

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

97.8–161

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 96.8 and 149 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 97.8 and 161 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Dano: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 96.8 and 149 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 97.8 and 161 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 122–148 134 118–153 219 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 108–150 132 91.5–155 195 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 96.8–149 122 74–163 177 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 98.2–154 128 72.9–174 192 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 97.8–161 128 70.8–200 193 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026153
Aug 2026134
Jul 2026126
Jun 2026119
May 2026121
Apr 2026121
Mar 2026125
Feb 2026126
Jan 2026131
Dec 2025134
Nov 2025145
Oct 2025149
Sept 2025166
Aug 2025166
Jul 2025192
Jun 2025199
May 2025215
Apr 2025224
Mar 2025226
Feb 2025228
Jan 2025218
Dec 2024213
Nov 2024180
Oct 2024242
Sept 2024266
Aug 2024256
Jul 2024250
Jun 2024213
May 2024210
Apr 2024198
Mar 2024188
Feb 2024177
Jan 2024188
Dec 2023193
Nov 2023176
Oct 2023190
Sept 2023206
Aug 2023208
Jul 2023198
Jun 2023186
May 2023186
Apr 2023194
Mar 2023204
Feb 2023207
Jan 2023215
Dec 2022209
Nov 2022167
Oct 2022192
Sept 2022235
Aug 2022247
Jul 2022230
Jun 2022241
May 2022251
Apr 2022252
Mar 2022212
Feb 2022188
Jan 2022187
Dec 2021194
Nov 2021164
Oct 2021167
Sept 2021197
Aug 2021189
Jul 2021178
Jun 2021172
May 2021172
Apr 2021155
Mar 2021148
Feb 2021143
Jan 2021130
Dec 2020120
Nov 2020117
Oct 2020140
Sept 2020138
Aug 2020130
Jul 2020124
Jun 2020111
May 2020113
Apr 2020111
Mar 2020100
Feb 202099
Jan 2020100
Dec 2019101
Nov 201995
Oct 201992
Sept 201995
Aug 201996
Jul 2019104
Jun 2019105
May 2019112
Apr 2019112
Mar 2019116
Feb 2019119
Jan 2019118
Dec 2018120
Nov 2018115
Oct 2018126
Sept 2018162
Aug 2018159
Jul 2018163
Jun 2018163
May 2018159
Apr 2018154
Mar 2018142
Feb 2018140
Jan 2018137
Dec 2017132
Nov 2017128
Oct 2017130
Sept 2017145
Aug 2017149
Jul 2017143
Jun 2017138
May 2017141
Apr 2017141
Mar 2017127
Feb 2017117
Jan 2017125
Dec 2016123
Nov 2016114
Oct 2016133
Sept 2016153
Aug 2016140
Jul 2016142
Jun 2016149
May 2016149
Apr 2016145
Mar 2016140
Feb 2016139
Jan 2016127
Dec 2015118
Nov 2015122
Oct 2015145
Sept 2015144
Aug 2015138
Jul 2015148
Jun 2015143
May 2015134
Apr 2015120
Mar 2015102
Feb 2015100
Jan 2015105

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3366-67-retail-kg.