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Millet in Dano

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 37% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

160–239

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

138–245

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 160 and 239 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 138 and 245 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Dano: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 160 and 239 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 138 and 245 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 177–212 190 165–235 313 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 165–226 192 154–250 305 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 160–239 190 128–268 310 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 144–236 190 102–295 288 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 138–245 188 89.2–337 284 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026210
Aug 2026188
Jul 2026191
Jun 2026189
May 2026183
Apr 2026198
Mar 2026203
Feb 2026209
Jan 2026204
Dec 2025210
Nov 2025201
Oct 2025231
Sept 2025262
Aug 2025257
Jul 2025298
Jun 2025293
May 2025307
Apr 2025337
Mar 2025331
Feb 2025337
Jan 2025311
Dec 2024321
Nov 2024389
Oct 2024382
Sept 2024384
Aug 2024349
Jul 2024325
Jun 2024280
May 2024270
Apr 2024267
Mar 2024254
Feb 2024264
Jan 2024263
Dec 2023276
Nov 2023319
Oct 2023301
Sept 2023326
Aug 2023297
Jul 2023281
Jun 2023276
May 2023316
Apr 2023324
Mar 2023325
Feb 2023316
Jan 2023330
Dec 2022349
Nov 2022351
Oct 2022391
Sept 2022382
Aug 2022383
Jul 2022350
Jun 2022343
May 2022361
Apr 2022350
Mar 2022309
Feb 2022262
Jan 2022260
Dec 2021255
Nov 2021242
Oct 2021227
Sept 2021231
Aug 2021234
Jul 2021229
Jun 2021237
May 2021246
Apr 2021231
Mar 2021230
Feb 2021223
Jan 2021208
Dec 2020213
Nov 2020227
Oct 2020227
Sept 2020220
Aug 2020203
Jul 2020190
Jun 2020182
May 2020185
Apr 2020188
Mar 2020177
Feb 2020176
Jan 2020167
Dec 2019167
Nov 2019165
Oct 2019158
Sept 2019169
Aug 2019167
Jul 2019176
Jun 2019177
May 2019184
Apr 2019182
Mar 2019194
Feb 2019194
Jan 2019207
Dec 2018215
Nov 2018222
Oct 2018223
Sept 2018231
Aug 2018252
Jul 2018246
Jun 2018251
May 2018242
Apr 2018220
Mar 2018225
Feb 2018227
Jan 2018219
Dec 2017218
Nov 2017248
Oct 2017239
Sept 2017240
Aug 2017258
Jul 2017235
Jun 2017231
May 2017221
Apr 2017221
Mar 2017198
Feb 2017178
Jan 2017168
Dec 2016159
Nov 2016207
Oct 2016169
Sept 2016164
Aug 2016166
Jul 2016159
Jun 2016172
May 2016172
Apr 2016163
Mar 2016160
Feb 2016149
Jan 2016167
Dec 2015148
Nov 2015148
Oct 2015185
Sept 2015181
Aug 2015180
Jul 2015195
Jun 2015186
May 2015177
Apr 2015168
Mar 2015143
Feb 2015134
Jan 2015161

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3366-73-retail-kg.