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Food basket in Dano

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,455–3,595

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,248–3,719

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,963 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,455 and 3,595 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,248 and 3,719 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Dano: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,963 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,455 and 3,595 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,248 and 3,719 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,788–3,249 2,978 2,648–3,540
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,598–3,447 2,967 2,407–3,725
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,455–3,595 2,936 2,006–3,955
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,282–3,571 2,932 1,786–4,271
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,248–3,719 2,945 1,674–4,901
Cost history (140 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,260
Aug 20262,963
Jul 20262,994
Jun 20262,963
May 20262,876
Apr 20263,127
Mar 20263,167
Feb 20263,251
Jan 20263,186
Dec 20253,206
Nov 20253,089
Oct 20253,533
Sept 20254,028
Aug 20254,060
Jul 20254,634
Jun 20254,583
May 20254,802
Apr 20255,178
Mar 20255,178
Feb 20255,187
Jan 20254,889
Dec 20244,873
Nov 20245,438
Oct 20245,416
Sept 20245,969
Aug 20245,398
Jul 20244,973
Jun 20244,310
May 20244,167
Apr 20244,091
Mar 20243,919
Feb 20243,926
Jan 20243,876
Dec 20233,922
Nov 20234,406
Oct 20234,186
Sept 20234,470
Aug 20234,099
Jul 20233,912
Jun 20233,847
May 20234,379
Apr 20234,487
Mar 20234,496
Feb 20234,390
Jan 20234,576
Dec 20224,804
Nov 20224,826
Oct 20225,401
Sept 20225,473
Aug 20225,530
Jul 20225,143
Jun 20225,052
May 20225,272
Apr 20225,084
Mar 20224,648
Feb 20224,058
Jan 20224,042
Dec 20213,883
Nov 20213,692
Oct 20213,412
Sept 20213,686
Aug 20213,661
Jul 20213,511
Jun 20213,618
May 20213,704
Apr 20213,494
Mar 20213,439
Feb 20213,347
Jan 20213,121
Dec 20203,148
Nov 20203,257
Oct 20203,300
Sept 20203,202
Aug 20203,010
Jul 20202,834
Jun 20202,733
May 20202,774
Apr 20202,816
Mar 20202,673
Feb 20202,683
Jan 20202,490
Dec 20192,467
Nov 20192,403
Oct 20192,319
Sept 20192,462
Aug 20192,468
Jul 20192,611
Jun 20192,648
May 20192,762
Apr 20192,744
Mar 20192,900
Feb 20192,913
Jan 20193,056
Dec 20183,125
Nov 20183,209
Oct 20183,230
Sept 20183,467
Aug 20183,710
Jul 20183,650
Jun 20183,685
May 20183,572
Apr 20183,335
Mar 20183,366
Feb 20183,397
Jan 20183,292
Dec 20173,192
Nov 20173,512
Oct 20173,430
Sept 20173,496
Aug 20173,753
Jul 20173,468
Jun 20173,388
May 20173,268
Apr 20173,268
Mar 20172,992
Feb 20172,752
Jan 20172,624
Dec 20162,448
Nov 20162,981
Oct 20162,550
Sept 20162,602
Aug 20162,633
Jul 20162,549
Jun 20162,705
May 20162,705
Apr 20162,597
Mar 20162,539
Feb 20162,427
Jan 20162,636
Dec 20152,219
Nov 20152,194
Oct 20152,686
Sept 20152,771
Aug 20152,767
Jul 20152,857
Jun 20152,731
May 20152,619
Apr 20152,498
Mar 20152,152
Feb 20152,033

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508