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Beans (niebe) in Diapaga

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal June 2026: 12% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

377–841

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

494–982

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

14%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In June 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 377 and 841 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 494 and 982 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 14%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Diapaga: XOF per KGIn June 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 377 and 841 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 494 and 982 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 14%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).05001,0001,500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 586–854 711 513–1,052 908 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 464–827 627 246–1,092 693 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 377–841 576 148–1,128 628 14%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 378–896 607 136–1,233 690 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 494–982 693 346–1,350 854 –
Price history (131 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Jun 2026726
May 2026734
Apr 2026768
Mar 2026722
Feb 2026691
Jan 2026695
Dec 2025721
Nov 2025764
Oct 2025855
Sept 2025907
Aug 2025784
Jul 2025720
Jun 2025642
Mar 20251,087
Feb 20251,084
Jan 20251,136
Nov 2024909
Oct 2024909
Aug 2024851
Jul 2024841
Mar 2024768
Feb 2024722
Jan 2024700
Dec 2023654
Nov 2023517
Oct 2023471
Sept 2023563
Aug 2023543
Jul 2023525
Jun 2023448
May 2023423
Apr 2023445
Mar 2023463
Feb 2023463
Jan 2023479
Dec 2022426
Nov 2022348
Oct 2022542
Sept 2022690
Aug 2022669
Jul 2022634
Jun 2022647
May 2022615
Apr 2022585
Mar 2022552
Feb 2022536
Jan 2022465
Dec 2021292
Nov 2021250
Oct 2021355
Sept 2021500
Aug 2021527
Jul 2021477
Jun 2021408
May 2021464
Apr 2021464
Mar 2021456
Feb 2021386
Jan 2021382
Dec 2020299
Nov 2020336
Oct 2020325
Sept 2020445
Aug 2020463
Jul 2020450
Jun 2020452
May 2020433
Apr 2020390
Mar 2020390
Feb 2020293
Jan 2020372
Dec 2019275
Nov 2019152
Oct 2019142
Sept 2019213
Aug 2019305
Jul 2019375
Jun 2019414
May 2019375
Apr 2019357
Mar 2019357
Feb 2019357
Jan 2019357
Dec 2018364
Nov 2018262
Oct 2018304
Sept 2018450
Aug 2018420
Jul 2018429
Jun 2018461
May 2018446
Apr 2018438
Mar 2018400
Feb 2018375
Jan 2018330
Dec 2017286
Nov 2017274
Oct 2017250
Sept 2017414
Aug 2017402
Jul 2017371
Jun 2017375
May 2017357
Apr 2017357
Mar 2017357
Feb 2017321
Jan 2017263
Dec 2016232
Nov 2016219
Oct 2016271
Sept 2016442
Aug 2016357
Jul 2016343
Jun 2016321
May 2016313
Apr 2016321
Mar 2016333
Feb 2016268
Jan 2016268
Dec 2015250
Nov 2015238
Oct 2015250
Sept 2015393
Aug 2015379
Jul 2015339
Jun 2015357
May 2015357
Apr 2015357
Mar 2015375
Feb 2015393
Jan 2015348

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: June 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3367-120-retail-kg.