Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Maize (white) in Diapaga

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 5% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

174–420

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

173–460

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 5% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 174 and 420 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 173 and 460 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Diapaga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 5% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 174 and 420 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 173 and 460 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).05001,0001,500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 302–444 380 214–457 470 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 212–417 316 88.4–460 355 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 174–420 285 66.6–463 332 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 165–422 286 61.9–453 324 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 173–460 334 52.7–538 391 –
Price history (132 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026339
Aug 2026385
Jul 2026383
Jun 2026381
May 2026381
Mar 2026380
Feb 2026294
Jan 2026255
Dec 2025291
Nov 2025289
Oct 2025324
Sept 2025387
Aug 2025322
Jul 2025354
Jun 2025398
Mar 2025841
Feb 2025899
Jan 20251,080
Nov 2024993
Oct 20241,065
Sept 20241,111
Mar 2024200
Feb 2024200
Jan 2024188
Dec 2023199
Nov 2023197
Oct 2023200
Sept 2023220
Aug 2023215
Jul 2023203
Jun 2023160
May 2023148
Apr 2023173
Mar 2023176
Feb 2023188
Jan 2023209
Dec 2022231
Nov 2022182
Oct 2022238
Sept 2022271
Aug 2022292
Jul 2022279
Jun 2022265
May 2022234
Apr 2022236
Mar 2022199
Feb 2022191
Jan 2022162
Dec 2021164
Nov 2021133
Oct 2021141
Sept 2021198
Aug 2021218
Jul 2021203
Jun 2021190
May 2021217
Apr 2021190
Mar 2021182
Feb 2021185
Jan 2021130
Dec 2020111
Nov 2020111
Oct 2020112
Sept 2020182
Aug 2020192
Jul 2020146
Jun 2020143
May 2020166
Apr 2020158
Mar 2020119
Feb 2020119
Jan 2020119
Dec 2019119
Nov 201987
Oct 201979
Sept 2019114
Aug 2019117
Jul 2019135
Jun 2019162
May 2019176
Apr 2019158
Mar 2019144
Feb 2019144
Jan 2019140
Dec 2018116
Nov 2018108
Oct 2018117
Sept 2018181
Aug 2018181
Jul 2018187
Jun 2018191
May 2018199
Apr 2018199
Mar 2018181
Feb 2018181
Jan 2018190
Dec 2017149
Nov 2017113
Oct 2017113
Sept 2017155
Aug 2017181
Jul 2017173
Jun 2017176
May 2017181
Apr 2017167
Mar 2017144
Feb 2017140
Jan 2017104
Dec 201690
Nov 201690
Oct 2016104
Sept 2016158
Aug 2016144
Jul 2016144
Jun 2016144
May 2016140
Apr 2016153
Mar 2016168
Feb 2016126
Jan 2016126
Dec 2015108
Nov 2015102
Oct 2015117
Sept 2015190
Aug 2015167
Jul 2015162
Jun 2015131
May 2015156
Apr 2015144
Mar 2015144
Feb 2015149
Jan 2015125

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3367-67-retail-kg.