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Millet in Diapaga

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Stress August 2026: 11% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

231–555

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

234–639

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

34%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% above the usual level for that time of year (stress). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 231 and 555 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 234 and 639 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 34%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Diapaga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% above the usual level for that time of year (stress). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 231 and 555 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 234 and 639 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 34%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 935); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 374–564 468 314–596 421 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 276–562 417 217–692 368 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 231–555 359 194–723 325 34%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 230–600 378 134–793 372 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 234–639 396 123–935 396 –
Price history (127 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026492
Aug 2026502
Jul 2026479
Jun 2026478
May 2026498
Apr 2026565
Mar 2026486
Feb 2026451
Jan 2026423
Dec 2025547
Nov 2025611
Oct 2025649
Sept 2025623
Aug 2025493
Jul 2025493
Jun 2025530
Mar 2024337
Feb 2024331
Jan 2024318
Dec 2023264
Nov 2023228
Oct 2023237
Sept 2023247
Aug 2023249
Jul 2023241
Jun 2023231
May 2023230
Apr 2023254
Mar 2023246
Feb 2023257
Jan 2023279
Dec 2022316
Nov 2022212
Oct 2022273
Sept 2022329
Aug 2022328
Jul 2022315
Jun 2022289
May 2022277
Apr 2022263
Mar 2022227
Feb 2022210
Jan 2022194
Dec 2021195
Nov 2021200
Oct 2021207
Sept 2021267
Aug 2021329
Jul 2021329
Jun 2021310
May 2021310
Apr 2021290
Mar 2021305
Feb 2021227
Jan 2021175
Dec 2020154
Nov 2020140
Oct 2020154
Sept 2020270
Aug 2020254
Jul 2020254
Jun 2020239
May 2020191
Apr 2020184
Mar 2020184
Feb 2020184
Jan 2020193
Dec 2019165
Nov 2019110
Oct 2019129
Sept 2019110
Aug 2019142
Jul 2019245
Jun 2019286
May 2019294
Apr 2019261
Mar 2019235
Feb 2019235
Jan 2019245
Dec 2018180
Nov 2018157
Oct 2018275
Sept 2018251
Aug 2018294
Jul 2018314
Jun 2018310
May 2018309
Apr 2018294
Mar 2018275
Feb 2018275
Jan 2018265
Dec 2017235
Nov 2017235
Oct 2017196
Sept 2017227
Aug 2017275
Jul 2017255
Jun 2017235
May 2017235
Apr 2017220
Mar 2017206
Feb 2017196
Jan 2017157
Dec 2016149
Nov 2016127
Oct 2016141
Sept 2016191
Aug 2016172
Jul 2016184
Jun 2016191
May 2016157
Apr 2016157
Mar 2016170
Feb 2016157
Jan 2016150
Dec 2015235
Nov 2015222
Oct 2015172
Sept 2015206
Aug 2015227
Jul 2015216
Jun 2015216
May 2015222
Apr 2015196
Mar 2015225
Feb 2015235
Jan 2015166

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3367-73-retail-kg.