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Beans (niebe) in Djibasso

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

217–477

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

226–539

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 217 and 477 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 226 and 539 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Djibasso: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 217 and 477 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 226 and 539 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 290–447 378 235–527 431 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 240–463 325 147–540 382 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 217–477 304 109–604 383 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 203–503 298 94–713 386 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 226–539 338 137–718 421 –
Price history (128 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026274
Aug 2026405
Jul 2026362
Jun 2026334
May 2026305
Apr 2026278
Mar 2026339
Feb 2026296
Jan 2026344
Dec 2025363
Nov 2025319
Oct 2025443
Sept 2025625
Aug 2025628
Jul 2025591
Jun 2025513
May 2025521
Apr 2025521
Mar 2025625
Feb 2025549
Jan 2025516
Dec 2024385
Nov 2024385
Oct 2024444
Sept 2024561
Aug 2024643
Jun 2024403
May 2024403
Apr 2024403
Mar 2024414
Feb 2024414
Jan 2024396
Dec 2023318
Nov 2023296
Oct 2023224
Sept 2023211
Aug 2023237
Jun 2023327
May 2023308
Apr 2023308
Mar 2023256
Feb 2023409
Jan 2023297
Dec 2022270
Nov 2022351
Oct 2022319
Sept 2022388
Aug 2022624
Jul 2022547
Jun 2022580
May 2022552
Apr 2022532
Mar 2022470
Feb 2022433
Jan 2022412
Dec 2021408
Nov 2021408
Oct 2021387
Sept 2021435
Aug 2021306
Jul 2021274
Jun 2021326
May 2021290
Apr 2021272
Mar 2021252
Feb 2021266
Jan 2021267
Dec 2020270
Nov 2020284
Oct 2020213
Sept 2020199
Aug 2020232
Jul 2020264
Jun 2020277
May 2020243
Apr 2020227
Mar 2020208
Feb 2020208
Jan 2020210
Dec 2019203
Nov 2019193
Oct 2019183
Sept 2019202
Aug 2019202
Jul 2019236
Jun 2019260
May 2019277
Apr 2019282
Mar 2019282
Feb 2019242
Jan 2019254
Dec 2018218
Nov 2018220
Oct 2018229
Sept 2018365
Aug 2018394
Jul 2018410
Jun 2018332
May 2018322
Apr 2018318
Mar 2018299
Feb 2018278
Jan 2018291
Dec 2017261
Nov 2017228
Oct 2017339
Aug 2017280
Jul 2017339
Jun 2017305
May 2017300
Apr 2017470
Mar 2017380
Feb 2017336
Jan 2017279
Dec 2016275
Nov 2016266
Dec 2015201
Nov 2015225
Oct 2015218
Sept 2015242
Aug 2015257
Jul 2015258
Jun 2015258
May 2015235
Apr 2015202
Mar 2015202
Feb 2015191
Jan 2015174

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3368-120-retail-kg.