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Millet in Djibasso

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

134–229

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

133–253

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 134 and 229 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 133 and 253 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Djibasso: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 134 and 229 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 133 and 253 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 164–214 187 157–249 271 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 152–229 189 127–324 261 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 134–229 179 101–305 242 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 125–236 170 88.3–331 230 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 133–253 180 99–384 252 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026207
Aug 2026189
Jul 2026190
Jun 2026185
May 2026185
Apr 2026185
Mar 2026185
Feb 2026177
Jan 2026192
Dec 2025184
Nov 2025164
Oct 2025207
Sept 2025212
Aug 2025238
Jul 2025265
Jun 2025258
May 2025243
Apr 2025258
Mar 2025266
Feb 2025274
Jan 2025266
Dec 2024231
Nov 2024265
Oct 2024326
Sept 2024321
Aug 2024338
Jul 2024301
May 2024239
Apr 2024219
Mar 2024202
Feb 2024224
Jan 2024215
Dec 2023215
Nov 2023199
Oct 2023205
Sept 2023212
Aug 2023225
Jul 2023185
Jun 2023178
May 2023201
Apr 2023226
Mar 2023226
Feb 2023236
Jan 2023259
Dec 2022229
Nov 2022286
Oct 2022311
Sept 2022322
Aug 2022350
Jul 2022340
Jun 2022333
May 2022333
Apr 2022319
Mar 2022281
Feb 2022250
Jan 2022227
Dec 2021209
Nov 2021213
Oct 2021190
Sept 2021182
Aug 2021185
Jul 2021188
Jun 2021184
May 2021193
Apr 2021185
Mar 2021167
Feb 2021166
Jan 2021155
Dec 2020144
Nov 2020177
Oct 2020180
Sept 2020177
Aug 2020193
Jul 2020160
Jun 2020152
May 2020144
Apr 2020140
Mar 2020129
Feb 2020150
Jan 2020137
Dec 2019132
Nov 2019121
Oct 2019128
Sept 2019238Data error
Aug 2019125
Jul 2019126
Jun 2019134
May 2019134
Apr 2019136
Mar 2019137
Feb 2019136
Jan 2019187
Dec 2018142
Nov 2018146
Oct 2018177
Sept 2018182
Aug 2018215
Jul 2018224
Jun 2018199
May 2018206
Apr 2018195
Mar 2018190
Feb 2018187
Jan 2018159
Dec 2017146
Nov 2017158
Oct 2017158
Sept 2017163
Aug 2017174
Jul 2017178
Jun 2017177
May 2017174
Apr 2017159
Mar 2017137
Feb 2017132
Jan 2017135
Dec 2016129
Nov 2016139
Oct 2016148
Sept 2016138
Aug 2016143
Jul 2016136
Jun 2016136
May 2016135
Apr 2016128
Mar 2016128
Feb 2016117
Jan 2016119
Dec 2015116
Nov 2015124
Oct 2015140
Sept 2015128
Aug 2015151
Jul 2015154
Jun 2015152
May 2015134
Apr 2015128
Mar 2015128
Feb 2015128
Jan 2015129

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3368-73-retail-kg.