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Food basket in Djibasso

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,090–3,492

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,014–3,936

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,997 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,090 and 3,492 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,014 and 3,936 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Djibasso: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,997 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,090 and 3,492 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,014 and 3,936 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,593–3,295 2,922 2,370–3,656
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,307–3,461 2,837 1,943–4,038
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,090–3,492 2,711 1,706–4,346
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,878–3,619 2,605 1,386–4,811
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,014–3,936 2,819 1,482–5,824
Cost history (119 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,977
Aug 20262,997
Jul 20262,932
Jun 20262,821
May 20262,769
Apr 20262,720
Mar 20262,830
Feb 20262,657
Jan 20262,923
Dec 20252,861
Nov 20252,542
Oct 20253,281
Sept 20253,669
Aug 20253,986
Jul 20254,244
Jun 20254,019
May 20253,854
Apr 20254,034
Mar 20254,317
Feb 20254,276
Jan 20254,121
Dec 20243,465
Nov 20243,873
Oct 20244,711
Sept 20244,862
Aug 20245,213
May 20243,593
Apr 20243,353
Mar 20243,169
Feb 20243,433
Dec 20233,152
Nov 20232,921
Oct 20232,863
Sept 20232,924
Aug 20233,127
Jun 20232,725
May 20232,966
Apr 20233,266
Mar 20233,173
Feb 20233,568
Dec 20223,234
Nov 20224,064
Oct 20224,306
Sept 20224,562
Aug 20225,323
Jul 20225,065
Jun 20225,040
May 20224,990
Apr 20224,786
Mar 20224,218
Feb 20223,779
Jan 20223,466
Dec 20213,242
Nov 20213,290
Oct 20212,977
Sept 20212,967
Aug 20212,771
Jul 20212,749
Jun 20212,795
May 20212,838
Apr 20212,710
Mar 20212,458
Feb 20212,471
Dec 20202,214
Nov 20202,635
Oct 20202,543
Sept 20202,482
Aug 20202,734
Jul 20202,395
Jun 20202,323
May 20202,165
Apr 20202,089
Mar 20201,922
Feb 20202,174
Dec 20191,949
Nov 20191,799
Oct 20191,865
Aug 20191,864
Jul 20191,937
Jun 20192,076
May 20192,107
Apr 20192,140
Mar 20192,152
Feb 20192,068
Dec 20182,096
Nov 20182,148
Oct 20182,536
Sept 20182,841
Aug 20183,289
Jul 20183,426
Jun 20182,986
May 20183,052
Apr 20182,912
Mar 20182,818
Feb 20182,744
Jan 20182,432
Dec 20172,222
Nov 20172,306
Oct 20172,506
Aug 20172,592
Jul 20172,746
Jun 20172,673
May 20172,628
Apr 20172,754
Mar 20172,328
Feb 20172,189
Dec 20162,043
Nov 20162,147
Dec 20151,754
Nov 20151,893
Oct 20152,072
Sept 20151,972
Aug 20152,275
Jul 20152,312
Jun 20152,288
May 20152,031
Apr 20151,900
Mar 20151,900
Feb 20151,880

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508