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Maize (white) in Douna

CASCADES, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

75.9–123

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

76.6–140

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 75.9 and 123 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 76.6 and 140 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Douna: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 75.9 and 123 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 76.6 and 140 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 103–127 113 92.6–129 177 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 88.2–128 111 70.1–140 158 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 75.9–123 97.4 71.3–159 131 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 75.3–131 101 55.3–187 140 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 76.6–140 106 49.2–209 149 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026120
Aug 2026112
Jul 2026117
Jun 2026117
May 2026116
Apr 2026110
Mar 2026110
Feb 2026117
Jan 2026111
Dec 2025104
Nov 2025105
Oct 2025114
Sept 2025115
Aug 2025135
Jul 2025161
Jun 2025161
May 2025167
Apr 2025167
Mar 2025158
Feb 2025158
Jan 2025164
Dec 2024164
Nov 2024143
Oct 2024194
Sept 2024193
Aug 2024184
Jul 2024176
Jun 2024174
May 2024177
Apr 2024158
Mar 2024153
Feb 2024132
Jan 2024133
Dec 2023139
Nov 2023121
Oct 2023139
Sept 2023162
Aug 2023150
Jul 2023157
Jun 2023169
May 2023193
Apr 2023212
Mar 2023184
Feb 2023169
Jan 2023161
Dec 2022161
Nov 2022158
Oct 2022205
Sept 2022231
Aug 2022215
Jul 2022215
Jun 2022219
May 2022227
Apr 2022246
Mar 2022212
Feb 2022200
Jan 2022181
Dec 2021154
Nov 2021146
Oct 2021170
Sept 2021194
Aug 2021164
Jul 2021164
Jun 2021179
May 2021174
Apr 2021178
Mar 2021167
Feb 2021150
Jan 2021115
Dec 202088
Nov 202096
Oct 2020136
Sept 2020103
Aug 2020100
Jul 2020100
Jun 2020101
May 2020105
Apr 2020105
Mar 202095
Feb 202088
Jan 202090
Dec 201981
Nov 201975
Oct 201989
Sept 2019106
Aug 2019116
Jul 2019109
Jun 2019120
May 2019140
Apr 2019139
Mar 2019115
Feb 2019111
Jan 2019111
Dec 2018107
Nov 201877
Oct 201890
Sept 2018165
Aug 2018160
Jul 2018150
Jun 2018150
May 2018150
Apr 2018150
Mar 2018142
Feb 2018125
Jan 2018108
Dec 2017100
Nov 2017100
Oct 2017108
Sept 2017119
Aug 2017125
Jul 2017117
Jun 2017125
May 2017113
Apr 2017113
Mar 2017106
Feb 201797
Jan 201775
Dec 201676
Nov 201678
Oct 201694
Sept 2016104
Aug 2016104
Jul 2016120
Jun 2016117
May 2016130
Apr 2016117
Mar 2016110
Feb 2016104
Jan 201694
Dec 201578
Nov 201578
Oct 201588
Sept 2015100
Aug 2015117
Jul 2015106
Jun 2015110
May 2015113
Apr 2015109
Mar 201592
Feb 201575
Jan 2015100

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3369-67-retail-kg.