Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Millet in Douna

CASCADES, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

222–359

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

180–367

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 222 and 359 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 180 and 367 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Douna: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 222 and 359 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 180 and 367 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 592); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 249–311 275 212–340 355 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 236–330 275 200–390 374 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 222–359 271 162–451 383 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 214–370 273 156–490 359 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 180–367 266 92.7–592 306 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026282
Aug 2026273
Jul 2026284
Jun 2026284
May 2026282
Apr 2026285
Mar 2026276
Feb 2026270
Jan 2026263
Dec 2025345
Nov 2025333
Oct 2025353
Sept 2025333
Aug 2025368
Jul 2025386
Jun 2025389
May 2025368
Apr 2025395
Mar 2025365
Feb 2025339
Jan 2025331
Dec 2024403
Nov 2024471
Oct 2024400
Sept 2024305
Aug 2024334
Jul 2024291
Jun 2024263
May 2024280
Apr 2024283
Mar 2024302
Feb 2024237
Jan 2024228
Dec 2023284
Nov 2023283
Oct 2023263
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023284
Jul 2023331
Jun 2023368
May 2023361
Apr 2023376
Mar 2023370
Feb 2023334
Jan 2023275
Dec 2022331
Nov 2022472
Oct 2022500
Sept 2022458
Aug 2022441
Jul 2022441
Jun 2022421
May 2022417
Apr 2022403
Mar 2022336
Feb 2022274
Jan 2022250
Dec 2021253
Nov 2021263
Oct 2021269
Sept 2021259
Aug 2021269
Jul 2021245
Jun 2021287
May 2021289
Apr 2021279
Mar 2021290
Feb 2021260
Jan 2021219
Dec 2020243
Nov 2020272
Oct 2020290
Sept 2020281
Aug 2020281
Jul 2020264
Jun 2020238
May 2020292
Apr 2020268
Mar 2020250
Feb 2020253
Jan 2020260
Dec 2019278
Nov 2019276
Oct 2019273
Sept 2019291
Aug 2019212
Jul 2019224
Jun 2019265
May 2019278
Apr 2019282
Mar 2019276
Feb 2019276
Jan 2019221
Dec 2018259
Nov 2018276
Oct 2018281
Sept 2018281
Aug 2018266
Jul 2018256
Jun 2018275
May 2018275
Apr 2018269
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018250
Dec 2017295
Nov 2017275
Oct 2017250
Sept 2017250
Aug 2017250
Jul 2017250
Jun 2017250
May 2017228
Apr 2017225
Mar 2017206
Feb 2017192
Jan 2017175
Dec 2016219
Nov 2016225
Oct 2016200
Sept 2016180
Aug 2016181
Jul 2016200
Jun 2016200
May 2016200
Apr 2016225
Mar 2016213
Feb 2016194
Jan 2016169
Dec 2015183
Nov 2015188
Oct 2015185
Sept 2015181
Aug 2015184
Jul 2015200
Jun 2015220
May 2015235
Apr 2015206
Mar 2015200
Feb 2015200
Jan 2015173

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3369-73-retail-kg.