Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in Fara

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

292–507

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

306–628

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 292 and 507 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 306 and 628 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Fara: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 292 and 507 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 306 and 628 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 857); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 374–498 437 318–545 534 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 334–511 430 253–602 494 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 292–507 388 200–617 430 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 282–536 389 181–693 430 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 306–628 434 213–857 517 –
Price history (76 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026435
Aug 2026435
Jul 2026435
Jun 2026426
May 2026435
Apr 2026353
Mar 2026351
Feb 2026433
Jan 2026467
Dec 2025417
Nov 2025469
Oct 2025548
Sept 2025611
Aug 2025675
Jul 2025658
Jun 2025548
May 2025471
Apr 2025447
Mar 2025619
Feb 2025577
Jan 2025670
Dec 2024458
Nov 2024461
Oct 2024491
Sept 2024558
Aug 2024568
Jul 2024554
Jun 2024554
May 2024520
Apr 2024514
Mar 2024474
Feb 2024366
Jan 2024421
Dec 2023286
Nov 2023278
Oct 2023263
Sept 2023258
Aug 2023265
Jul 2023265
Jun 2023286
May 2023366
Apr 2023265
Mar 2023311
Feb 2023343
Jan 2023297
Dec 2022306
Nov 2022291
Oct 2022407
Sept 2022495
Aug 2022491
Jul 2022495
Jun 2022524
May 2022564
Apr 2022482
Mar 2022453
Feb 2022419
Jan 2022419
Dec 2021353
Nov 2021345
Oct 2021387
Sept 2021462
Aug 2021407
Jul 2021399
Jun 2021386
May 2021367
Apr 2021367
Mar 2021367
Feb 2021367
Jan 2021300
Dec 2020277
Nov 2020270
Oct 2020334
Sept 2020295
Aug 2020337
Jul 2020337
Jun 2020327

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3370-120-retail-kg.