Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Food basket in Fara

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,994–4,963

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,735–5,526

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,915 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,994 and 4,963 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,735 and 5,526 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Fara: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,915 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,994 and 4,963 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,735 and 5,526 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,437–4,513 3,912 3,154–5,190
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,258–4,799 3,899 2,756–6,344
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,994–4,963 3,831 2,433–6,365
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,669–5,124 3,737 1,814–6,907
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,735–5,526 3,866 2,036–7,442
Cost history (76 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,915
Aug 20263,915
Jul 20263,843
Jun 20263,947
May 20263,843
Apr 20263,755
Mar 20263,764
Feb 20263,683
Jan 20263,793
Dec 20253,823
Nov 20254,624
Oct 20254,274
Sept 20254,484
Aug 20254,911
Jul 20254,880
Jun 20254,538
May 20254,688
Apr 20254,237
Mar 20257,690
Feb 20255,347
Jan 20256,006
Dec 20245,048
Nov 20245,138
Oct 20244,736
Sept 20244,904
Aug 20245,522
Jul 20243,721
Jun 20243,805
May 20243,852
Apr 20244,597
Mar 20244,141
Feb 20243,923
Jan 20244,046
Dec 20233,623
Nov 20233,452
Oct 20233,533
Sept 20233,344
Aug 20233,369
Jul 20233,249
Jun 20233,179
May 20233,527
Apr 20234,017
Mar 20234,244
Feb 20234,181
Jan 20233,631
Dec 20223,563
Nov 20224,448
Oct 20224,981
Sept 20224,911
Aug 20224,748
Jul 20224,803
Jun 20224,975
May 20225,551
Apr 20224,756
Mar 20223,683
Feb 20223,190
Jan 20223,190
Dec 20213,047
Nov 20212,961
Oct 20213,205
Sept 20213,424
Aug 20213,037
Jul 20213,022
Jun 20213,023
May 20213,217
Apr 20213,469
Mar 20213,241
Feb 20213,289
Jan 20213,300
Dec 20203,907
Nov 20203,714
Oct 20203,481
Sept 20203,171
Aug 20203,451
Jul 20202,911
Jun 20202,893

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508