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Maize (white) in Faramana

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 40% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

67–109

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

69.1–125

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 40% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 67.0 and 109 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 69.1 and 125 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Faramana: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 40% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 67.0 and 109 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 69.1 and 125 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).050100150200250202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 92.1–114 103 85.6–117 180 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 72.8–112 93.3 54.6–120 141 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 67–109 86.8 61.8–127 129 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 66.6–116 92 43.7–134 142 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 69.1–125 95.5 45.1–183 149 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026115
Aug 2026102
Jul 202692
Jun 202690
May 202696
Apr 202695
Mar 2026106
Feb 2026106
Jan 2026105
Dec 2025106
Nov 2025103
Oct 2025108
Sept 2025119
Aug 2025135
Jul 2025144
Jun 2025172
May 2025178
Apr 2025182
Mar 2025183
Feb 2025176
Jan 2025160
Dec 2024156
Nov 2024130
Oct 2024195
Sept 2024222
Aug 2024224
Jul 2024221
Jun 2024189
May 2024175
Apr 2024168
Mar 2024159
Feb 2024143
Jan 2024131
Dec 2023137
Nov 2023123
Oct 2023132
Sept 2023163
Aug 2023155
Jul 2023145
Jun 2023128
May 2023152
Apr 2023152
Mar 2023163
Feb 2023174
Jan 2023159
Dec 2022162
Nov 2022137
Oct 2022121
Sept 2022193
Aug 2022211
Jul 2022227
Jun 2022229
May 2022232
Apr 2022218
Mar 2022194
Feb 2022189
Jan 2022161
Dec 2021157
Nov 2021135
Oct 2021131
Sept 2021178
Aug 2021160
Jul 2021159
Jun 2021163
May 2021158
Apr 2021139
Mar 2021130
Feb 2021122
Jan 2021111
Dec 202099
Nov 202093
Oct 2020115
Sept 2020132
Aug 2020117
Jul 2020106
Jun 202097
May 202097
Apr 202097
Mar 202089
Feb 202083
Jan 202083
Dec 201978
Nov 201974
Oct 201987
Sept 201982
Aug 201979
Jul 201978
Jun 201980
May 201989
Apr 201986
Mar 201988
Feb 201990
Jan 201994
Dec 201884
Nov 201882
Oct 201886
Sept 2018139
Aug 2018145
Jul 2018137
Jun 2018137
May 2018134
Apr 2018132
Mar 2018120
Feb 2018111
Jan 2018113
Dec 201799
Nov 201792
Oct 201781
Sept 2017122
Aug 2017125
Jul 2017122
Jun 2017122
May 2017125
Apr 2017111
Mar 2017108
Feb 2017100
Jan 201794
Dec 201686
Nov 201677
Oct 201692
Sept 2016124
Aug 2016123
Jul 2016109
Jun 2016101
May 2016101
Apr 2016101
Mar 201688
Feb 201680
Jan 201676
Dec 201576
Nov 201576
Oct 201592
Sept 2015102
Aug 201593
Jul 2015101
Jun 2015101
May 201588
Apr 201582
Mar 201576
Feb 201576
Jan 201598

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3371-67-retail-kg.