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Millet in Faramana

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

158–243

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

127–241

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 158 and 243 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 127 and 241 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Faramana: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 158 and 243 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 127 and 241 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 172–209 188 162–253 277 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 163–225 188 150–284 278 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 158–243 187 137–326 270 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 133–237 177 94.3–365 229 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 127–241 175 75.7–344 232 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026193
Aug 2026187
Jul 2026197
Jun 2026183
May 2026182
Apr 2026177
Mar 2026179
Feb 2026177
Jan 2026178
Dec 2025186
Nov 2025215
Oct 2025246
Sept 2025253
Aug 2025253
Jul 2025217
Jun 2025227
May 2025286
Apr 2025296
Mar 2025293
Feb 2025263
Jan 2025249
Dec 2024265
Nov 2024363
Oct 2024366
Sept 2024353
Aug 2024342
Jul 2024293
Jun 2024225
May 2024219
Apr 2024207
Mar 2024222
Feb 2024195
Jan 2024184
Dec 2023187
Nov 2023210
Oct 2023214
Sept 2023212
Aug 2023200
Jul 2023190
Jun 2023192
May 2023218
Apr 2023236
Mar 2023247
Feb 2023240
Jan 2023220
Dec 2022214
Nov 2022285
Oct 2022313
Sept 2022316
Aug 2022314
Jul 2022303
Jun 2022291
May 2022307
Apr 2022303
Mar 2022257
Feb 2022234
Jan 2022214
Dec 2021199
Nov 2021194
Oct 2021176
Sept 2021168
Aug 2021153
Jul 2021157
Jun 2021156
May 2021159
Apr 2021167
Mar 2021155
Feb 2021145
Jan 2021132
Dec 2020137
Nov 2020168
Oct 2020184
Sept 2020178
Aug 2020166
Jul 2020151
Jun 2020145
May 2020146
Apr 2020141
Mar 2020132
Feb 2020118
Jan 2020132
Dec 2019113
Nov 2019109
Oct 2019109
Sept 2019109
Aug 2019101
Jul 2019102
Jun 2019107
May 2019123
Apr 2019120
Mar 2019125
Feb 2019130
Jan 2019117
Dec 2018124
Nov 2018166
Oct 2018185
Sept 2018189
Aug 2018188
Jul 2018199
Jun 2018192
May 2018203
Apr 2018187
Mar 2018175
Feb 2018178
Jan 2018176
Dec 2017160
Nov 2017197
Oct 2017199
Sept 2017216
Aug 2017189
Jul 2017178
Jun 2017180
May 2017183
Apr 2017170
Mar 2017160
Feb 2017143
Jan 2017147
Dec 2016147
Nov 2016167
Oct 2016155
Sept 2016149
Aug 2016137
Jul 2016128
Jun 2016141
May 2016138
Apr 2016132
Mar 2016126
Feb 2016119
Jan 2016121
Dec 2015132
Nov 2015141
Oct 2015151
Sept 2015138
Aug 2015151
Jul 2015152
Jun 2015155
May 2015144
Apr 2015134
Mar 2015125
Feb 2015125
Jan 2015133

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3371-73-retail-kg.