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Food basket in Faramana

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,369–3,700

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,020–3,724

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,926 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,369 and 3,700 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,020 and 3,724 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Faramana: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,926 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,369 and 3,700 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,020 and 3,724 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,698–3,237 2,931 2,573–3,737
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,505–3,428 2,881 2,293–4,109
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,369–3,700 2,840 2,065–4,822
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,111–3,698 2,779 1,553–5,307
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,020–3,724 2,807 1,351–5,017
Cost history (140 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,013
Aug 20262,926
Jul 20263,043
Jun 20262,869
May 20262,837
Apr 20262,754
Mar 20262,812
Feb 20262,794
Jan 20262,890
Dec 20252,927
Nov 20253,295
Oct 20253,634
Sept 20253,844
Aug 20253,882
Jul 20253,652
Jun 20253,770
May 20254,406
Apr 20254,549
Mar 20254,477
Feb 20254,184
Jan 20254,018
Dec 20244,071
Nov 20245,069
Oct 20245,234
Sept 20245,446
Aug 20245,342
Jul 20244,565
Jun 20243,670
May 20243,481
Apr 20243,348
Mar 20243,517
Feb 20243,116
Jan 20242,833
Dec 20232,813
Nov 20233,055
Oct 20233,131
Sept 20233,134
Aug 20232,927
Jul 20232,768
Jun 20232,754
May 20233,109
Apr 20233,329
Mar 20233,520
Feb 20233,436
Jan 20233,220
Dec 20223,203
Nov 20224,005
Oct 20224,379
Sept 20224,503
Aug 20224,722
Jul 20224,563
Jun 20224,387
May 20224,548
Apr 20224,572
Mar 20223,971
Feb 20223,672
Jan 20223,405
Dec 20213,225
Nov 20213,091
Oct 20212,774
Sept 20212,772
Aug 20212,520
Jul 20212,590
Jun 20212,534
May 20212,518
Apr 20212,558
Mar 20212,414
Feb 20212,285
Jan 20212,117
Dec 20202,114
Nov 20202,452
Oct 20202,658
Sept 20202,798
Aug 20202,590
Jul 20202,381
Jun 20202,280
May 20202,267
Apr 20202,165
Mar 20202,057
Feb 20201,895
Jan 20202,057
Dec 20191,774
Nov 20191,691
Oct 20191,702
Sept 20191,781
Aug 20191,682
Jul 20191,685
Jun 20191,747
May 20191,944
Apr 20191,906
Mar 20191,970
Feb 20192,046
Jan 20191,890
Dec 20181,952
Nov 20182,431
Oct 20182,677
Sept 20182,844
Aug 20182,936
Jul 20183,018
Jun 20182,936
May 20183,057
Apr 20182,863
Mar 20182,692
Feb 20182,717
Jan 20182,645
Dec 20172,408
Nov 20172,832
Oct 20172,797
Sept 20173,175
Aug 20172,862
Jul 20172,723
Jun 20172,767
May 20172,803
Apr 20172,647
Mar 20172,523
Feb 20172,296
Jan 20172,345
Dec 20162,297
Oct 20162,328
Sept 20162,344
Aug 20162,252
Jul 20162,087
Jun 20162,198
May 20162,023
Apr 20162,066
Mar 20161,777
Feb 20161,617
Jan 20161,717
Dec 20151,768
Nov 20152,090
Oct 20152,264
Sept 20152,084
Aug 20152,363
Jul 20152,215
Jun 20152,146
May 20151,975
Apr 20151,790
Mar 20151,648
Feb 20151,653
Jan 20151,792

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508