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Beans (niebe) in Founza

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

291–521

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

296–604

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 291 and 521 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 296 and 604 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Founza: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 291 and 521 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 296 and 604 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 382–509 440 351–568 583 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 305–502 401 254–639 473 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 291–521 392 209–660 470 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 295–563 421 179–702 523 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 296–604 440 174–625 550 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026366
Aug 2026437
Jul 2026477
Jun 2026455
May 2026510
Apr 2026490
Mar 2026481
Feb 2026505
Jan 2026519
Dec 2025519
Nov 2025498
Oct 2025400
Sept 2025580
Aug 2025607
Jul 2025607
Jun 2025492
May 2025681
Apr 2025739
Mar 2025739
Feb 2025704
Jan 2025695
Dec 2024583
Nov 2024494
Oct 2024444
Sept 2024651
Aug 2024614
Jul 2024616
Jun 2024535
May 2024523
Apr 2024503
Mar 2024445
Feb 2024422
Jan 2024378
Dec 2023326
Nov 2023279
Oct 2023258
Sept 2023340
Aug 2023388
Jul 2023299
Jun 2023291
May 2023323
Apr 2023340
Mar 2023362
Feb 2023348
Jan 2023339
Dec 2022357
Nov 2022292
Oct 2022260
Sept 2022528
Aug 2022503
Jul 2022529
Jun 2022575
May 2022567
Apr 2022540
Mar 2022524
Feb 2022524
Jan 2022510
Dec 2021487
Nov 2021366
Oct 2021366
Sept 2021501
Aug 2021514
Jul 2021430
Jun 2021394
May 2021373
Apr 2021363
Mar 2021352
Feb 2021345
Jan 2021345
Dec 2020314
Nov 2020254
Oct 2020306
Sept 2020345
Aug 2020342
Jul 2020339
Jun 2020339
May 2020339
Mar 2020275
Feb 2020271
Jan 2020271
Dec 2019266
Nov 2019275
Oct 2019254
Sept 2019248
Aug 2019271
Jul 2019285
Jun 2019283
May 2019283
Apr 2019284
Mar 2019296
Feb 2019300
Jan 2019288
Dec 2018282
Nov 2018281
Oct 2018315
Sept 2018349
Aug 2018356
Jul 2018333
Jun 2018360
May 2018333
Apr 2018357
Mar 2018337
Feb 2018300
Jan 2018285
Dec 2017260
Nov 2017264
Oct 2017315
Sept 2017323
Aug 2017323
Jul 2017315
Jun 2017290
May 2017290
Apr 2017306
Mar 2017274
Feb 2017272
Jan 2017266
Dec 2016281
Nov 2016266
Oct 2016317
Sept 2016267
Aug 2016333
Jul 2016308
Jun 2016240
May 2016250
Apr 2016211
Mar 2016183
Feb 2016183
Jan 2016225
Dec 2015204
Nov 2015180
Oct 2015292
Sept 2015317
Aug 2015333
Jul 2015271
Jun 2015300
May 2015300
Apr 2015283
Mar 2015254
Feb 2015274
Jan 2015224

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3372-120-retail-kg.