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Sorghum (white) in Founza

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

130–215

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

111–227

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 111 and 227 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Founza: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 111 and 227 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 151–203 180 134–220 269 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 141–211 179 112–242 262 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 130–215 175 115–256 242 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 111–220 166 74.6–289 223 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 111–227 166 73.3–294 223 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026208
Aug 2026182
Jul 2026162
Jun 2026167
May 2026156
Apr 2026179
Mar 2026181
Feb 2026167
Jan 2026136
Dec 2025139
Nov 2025210
Oct 2025206
Sept 2025204
Aug 2025225
Jul 2025233
Jun 2025232
May 2025241
Apr 2025267
Mar 2025285
Feb 2025280
Jan 2025235
Dec 2024230
Nov 2024251
Oct 2024312
Sept 2024306
Aug 2024290
Jul 2024278
Jun 2024258
May 2024235
Apr 2024230
Mar 2024231
Feb 2024223
Jan 2024224
Dec 2023205
Nov 2023225
Oct 2023223
Sept 2023222
Aug 2023176
Jul 2023190
Jun 2023171
May 2023171
Apr 2023202
Mar 2023205
Feb 2023198
Jan 2023178
Dec 2022168
Nov 2022211
Oct 2022284
Sept 2022284
Aug 2022273
Jul 2022273
Jun 2022256
May 2022253
Apr 2022245
Mar 2022207
Feb 2022168
Jan 2022175
Dec 2021177
Nov 2021174
Oct 2021183
Sept 2021178
Aug 2021179
Jul 2021168
Jun 2021163
May 2021163
Apr 2021160
Mar 2021147
Feb 2021145
Jan 2021140
Dec 2020126
Nov 2020127
Oct 2020158
Sept 2020136
Aug 2020119
Jul 2020134
Jun 2020119
May 2020119
Mar 2020127
Feb 2020122
Jan 2020102
Dec 2019112
Nov 2019105
Oct 2019103
Sept 2019115
Aug 201999
Jul 2019103
Jun 2019123
May 2019120
Apr 2019125
Mar 2019131
Feb 2019129
Jan 2019141
Dec 2018137
Nov 2018132
Oct 2018157
Sept 2018174
Aug 2018183
Jul 2018175
Jun 2018161
May 2018148
Apr 2018163
Mar 2018140
Feb 2018140
Jan 2018140
Dec 2017150
Nov 2017154
Oct 2017150
Sept 2017161
Aug 2017153
Jul 2017127
Jun 2017118
May 2017125
Apr 2017125
Mar 2017123
Feb 2017114
Jan 201796
Dec 2016104
Nov 2016116
Oct 2016105
Sept 2016129
Aug 2016129
Jul 2016129
Jun 2016129
May 2016135
Apr 2016129
Mar 2016121
Feb 2016108
Jan 2016102
Dec 201597
Nov 2015125
Oct 2015129
Sept 2015138
Aug 2015142
Jul 2015133
Jun 2015133
May 2015129
Apr 2015122
Mar 2015119
Feb 2015131
Jan 2015118

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3372-135-retail-kg.