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Maize (white) in Founza

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 29% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

90.5–153

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

95.3–175

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 30% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 90.5 and 153 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 95.3 and 175 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Founza: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 30% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 90.5 and 153 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 95.3 and 175 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 118–158 138 111–170 222 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 97.8–153 133 83.6–181 185 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 90.5–153 124 70.8–184 174 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 94.7–163 132 85.8–196 190 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 95.3–175 131 77.3–255 193 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026125
Aug 2026139
Jul 2026122
Jun 2026106
May 2026107
Apr 2026115
Mar 2026121
Feb 2026132
Jan 2026114
Dec 2025140
Nov 2025131
Oct 2025144
Sept 2025147
Aug 2025158
Jul 2025195
Jun 2025188
May 2025214
Apr 2025207
Mar 2025221
Feb 2025230
Jan 2025210
Dec 2024195
Nov 2024181
Oct 2024216
Sept 2024273
Aug 2024236
Jul 2024244
Jun 2024208
May 2024207
Apr 2024199
Mar 2024194
Feb 2024162
Jan 2024172
Dec 2023178
Nov 2023157
Oct 2023158
Sept 2023189
Aug 2023182
Jul 2023186
Jun 2023185
May 2023156
Apr 2023187
Mar 2023184
Feb 2023202
Jan 2023210
Dec 2022198
Nov 2022161
Oct 2022143
Sept 2022231
Aug 2022228
Jul 2022213
Jun 2022226
May 2022235
Apr 2022253
Mar 2022220
Feb 2022197
Jan 2022186
Dec 2021186
Nov 2021150
Oct 2021143
Sept 2021187
Aug 2021181
Jul 2021167
Jun 2021165
May 2021178
Apr 2021153
Mar 2021141
Feb 2021138
Jan 2021125
Dec 2020107
Nov 2020112
Oct 2020131
Sept 2020142
Aug 202089
Jul 2020116
Jun 202091
May 202094
Mar 202096
Feb 202097
Jan 202095
Dec 201989
Nov 201984
Oct 201988
Sept 201988
Aug 201981
Jul 201991
Jun 201994
May 201998
Apr 2019107
Mar 2019105
Feb 2019108
Jan 201999
Dec 201891
Nov 201883
Oct 2018103
Sept 2018145
Aug 2018135
Jul 2018143
Jun 2018137
May 2018137
Apr 2018141
Mar 2018137
Feb 2018127
Jan 2018125
Dec 2017125
Nov 2017113
Oct 2017119
Sept 2017134
Aug 2017118
Jul 2017108
Jun 2017105
May 2017108
Apr 2017115
Mar 2017102
Feb 201792
Jan 201789
Dec 201692
Nov 201692
Oct 201697
Sept 2016109
Aug 2016121
Jul 2016129
Jun 2016123
May 2016121
Apr 2016116
Mar 2016119
Feb 2016102
Jan 201689
Dec 201593
Nov 201591
Oct 2015113
Sept 2015121
Aug 2015132
Jul 2015121
Jun 2015117
May 2015115
Apr 2015100
Mar 2015104
Feb 2015111
Jan 2015110

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3372-67-retail-kg.