Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Millet in Founza

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

150–272

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

133–278

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 30% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 133 and 278 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Founza: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 30% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 133 and 278 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 173–244 209 164–277 304 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 165–260 209 163–333 304 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 150–272 206 111–344 287 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 135–271 198 109–395 267 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 133–278 188 103–423 258 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026231
Aug 2026212
Jul 2026169
Jun 2026162
May 2026163
Apr 2026186
Mar 2026210
Feb 2026192
Jan 2026174
Dec 2025200
Nov 2025219
Oct 2025219
Sept 2025200
Aug 2025237
Jul 2025244
Jun 2025236
May 2025267
Apr 2025286
Mar 2025313
Feb 2025286
Jan 2025294
Dec 2024265
Nov 2024296
Oct 2024360
Sept 2024350
Aug 2024383
Jul 2024324
Jun 2024289
May 2024273
Apr 2024256
Mar 2024223
Feb 2024205
Jan 2024203
Dec 2023195
Nov 2023255
Oct 2023260
Sept 2023248
Aug 2023218
Jul 2023228
Jun 2023203
May 2023199
Apr 2023229
Mar 2023249
Feb 2023244
Jan 2023254
Dec 2022251
Nov 2022294
Oct 2022316
Sept 2022368
Aug 2022338
Jul 2022321
Jun 2022314
May 2022256
Apr 2022299
Mar 2022254
Feb 2022214
Jan 2022201
Dec 2021190
Nov 2021214
Oct 2021212
Sept 2021225
Aug 2021197
Jul 2021167
Jun 2021184
May 2021211
Apr 2021193
Mar 2021174
Feb 2021191
Jan 2021191
Dec 2020182
Nov 2020209
Oct 2020218
Sept 2020191
Aug 2020155
Jul 2020151
Jun 2020137
May 2020137
Mar 2020146
Feb 2020138
Jan 2020130
Dec 2019136
Nov 2019141
Oct 2019143
Sept 2019129
Aug 2019119
Jul 2019121
Jun 2019129
May 2019130
Apr 2019133
Mar 2019146
Feb 2019150
Jan 2019158
Dec 2018150
Nov 2018127
Oct 2018177
Sept 2018188
Aug 2018211
Jul 2018198
Jun 2018195
May 2018188
Apr 2018213
Mar 2018193
Feb 2018173
Jan 2018152
Dec 2017217
Nov 2017194
Oct 2017183
Sept 2017186
Aug 2017163
Jul 2017137
Jun 2017140
May 2017133
Apr 2017129
Mar 2017140
Feb 2017122
Jan 2017108
Dec 2016121
Nov 2016130
Oct 2016125
Sept 2016142
Aug 2016142
Jul 2016142
Jun 2016142
May 2016142
Apr 2016133
Mar 2016133
Feb 2016138
Jan 2016133
Dec 2015133
Nov 2015150
Oct 2015150
Sept 2015167
Aug 2015153
Jul 2015160
Jun 2015146
May 2015144
Apr 2015136
Mar 2015133
Feb 2015137
Jan 2015139

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3372-73-retail-kg.