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Food basket in Founza

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,445–4,095

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,199–4,358

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,331 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,445 and 4,095 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,199 and 4,358 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Founza: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,331 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,445 and 4,095 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,199 and 4,358 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,584); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,852–3,760 3,292 2,668–4,086
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,691–3,943 3,218 2,505–4,885
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,445–4,095 3,178 1,866–4,799
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,180–4,148 3,032 1,628–5,497
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,199–4,358 3,049 1,818–6,584
Cost history (136 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,431
Aug 20263,331
Jul 20262,887
Jun 20262,763
May 20262,874
Apr 20263,114
Mar 20263,386
Feb 20263,213
Jan 20263,022
Dec 20253,334
Nov 20253,524
Oct 20253,348
Sept 20253,444
Aug 20253,937
Jul 20254,021
Jun 20253,718
May 20254,430
Apr 20254,762
Mar 20255,086
Feb 20254,699
Jan 20254,779
Dec 20244,229
Nov 20244,441
Oct 20245,119
Sept 20245,372
Aug 20245,701
Jul 20244,997
Jun 20244,431
May 20244,217
Apr 20243,977
Mar 20243,477
Feb 20243,220
Jan 20243,116
Dec 20232,927
Nov 20233,562
Oct 20233,584
Sept 20233,588
Aug 20233,314
Jul 20233,274
Jun 20232,960
May 20232,969
Apr 20233,360
Mar 20233,640
Feb 20233,554
Jan 20233,658
Dec 20223,655
Nov 20224,054
Oct 20224,260
Sept 20225,366
Aug 20224,961
Jul 20224,804
Jun 20224,803
May 20224,093
Apr 20224,560
Mar 20223,991
Feb 20223,511
Jan 20223,330
Oct 20213,203
Sept 20213,602
Aug 20213,289
Jul 20212,778
Jun 20212,917
May 20213,203
Apr 20212,969
Mar 20212,722
Feb 20212,913
Jan 20212,913
Dec 20202,749
Nov 20202,965
Oct 20203,167
Sept 20202,913
Aug 20202,476
Jul 20202,422
Jun 20202,254
May 20202,254
Mar 20202,247
Feb 20202,144
Jan 20202,048
Dec 20192,111
Nov 20192,187
Oct 20192,173
Sept 20191,994
Aug 20191,916
Jul 20191,965
Jun 20192,057
May 20192,069
Apr 20192,107
Mar 20192,285
Feb 20192,340
Jan 20192,414
Dec 20182,308
Nov 20182,030
Oct 20182,691
Sept 20182,884
Aug 20183,173
Jul 20182,975
Jun 20182,988
May 20182,855
Apr 20183,199
Mar 20182,923
Feb 20182,616
Jan 20182,337
Nov 20172,803
Oct 20172,763
Sept 20172,813
Aug 20172,537
Jul 20172,211
Jun 20172,202
May 20172,118
Apr 20172,099
Mar 20172,173
Feb 20171,954
Jan 20171,775
Nov 20162,039
Oct 20162,071
Sept 20162,185
Aug 20162,303
Jul 20162,258
Jun 20162,136
May 20162,154
Apr 20161,976
Mar 20161,925
Feb 20161,985
Jan 20162,001
Dec 20151,963
Nov 20152,124
Oct 20152,326
Sept 20152,575
Aug 20152,435
Jul 20152,408
Jun 20152,292
May 20152,268
Apr 20152,141
Mar 20152,053
Feb 20152,137
Jan 20152,071

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508