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Beans (niebe) in Gayéri

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 16% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

182–440

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

146–501

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 182 and 440 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 146 and 501 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Gayéri: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 182 and 440 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 146 and 501 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 764); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 306–450 393 270–498 460 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 192–422 282 133–572 334 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 182–440 271 121–632 319 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 172–464 269 104–729 323 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 146–501 280 41.4–764 343 –
Price history (138 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026403
Aug 2026401
Jul 2026379
Jun 2026354
May 2026352
Apr 2026350
Mar 2026250
Feb 2026250
Jan 2026250
Dec 2025250
Nov 2025250
Oct 2025250
Sept 2025503
Aug 2025500
Jul 2025425
Jun 2025341
May 2025329
Apr 2025317
Mar 2025280
Feb 2025207
Jan 2025190
Dec 2024171
Nov 2024171
Oct 2024264
Sept 2024399
Aug 2024399
Jul 2024346
Jun 2024346
May 2024346
Apr 2024347
Mar 2024301
Feb 2024269
Jan 2024269
Dec 2023269
Nov 2023269
Oct 2023269
Sept 2023324
Jul 2023351
Jun 2023297
May 2023269
Apr 2023378
Mar 2023452
Feb 2023452
Jan 2023396
Dec 2022325
Nov 2022348
Oct 2022319
Sept 2022691
Aug 2022678
Jul 2022660
Jun 2022650
May 2022650
Apr 2022650
Mar 2022638
Feb 2022625
Jan 2022617
Dec 2021500
Nov 2021500
Oct 2021507
Sept 2021658
Aug 2021532
Jul 2021434
Jun 2021474
May 2021381
Apr 2021343
Mar 2021257
Feb 2021343
Jan 2021314
Dec 2020314
Nov 2020307
Oct 2020343
Sept 2020371
Aug 2020371
Jul 2020371
Jun 2020371
May 2020371
Apr 2020366
Mar 2020357
Feb 2020343
Jan 2020286
Dec 2019286
Nov 2019286
Oct 2019286
Sept 2019343
Aug 2019317
Jul 2019239
Jun 2019239
May 2019250
Apr 2019250
Mar 2019217
Feb 2019225
Jan 2019206
Dec 2018200
Nov 2018206
Oct 2018211
Sept 2018250
Aug 2018267
Jul 2018300
Jun 2018300
May 2018300
Apr 2018300
Mar 2018313
Feb 2018287
Jan 2018252
Dec 2017255
Nov 2017213
Oct 2017203
Sept 2017170
Aug 2017240
Jul 2017247
Jun 2017247
May 2017250
Apr 2017240
Mar 2017200
Feb 2017200
Jan 2017153
Dec 2016140
Nov 2016140
Oct 2016140
Sept 2016260
Aug 2016250
Jul 2016240
Jun 2016230
May 2016240
Apr 2016240
Mar 2016228
Feb 2016220
Jan 2016195
Nov 2015167
Oct 2015120
Sept 2015260
Aug 2015260
Jul 2015240
Jun 2015260
May 2015260
Apr 2015260
Mar 2015253
Feb 2015250

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3375-120-retail-kg.