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Millet in Gayéri

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

375–616

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

321–668

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

11%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 375 and 616 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 321 and 668 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 11%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Gayéri: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 375 and 616 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 321 and 668 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 11%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 915); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 460–588 527 406–651 550 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 419–617 526 373–642 531 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 375–616 499 264–715 498 11%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 355–633 495 232–788 494 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 321–668 498 152–915 501 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026526
Aug 2026526
Jul 2026568
Jun 2026565
May 2026562
Apr 2026552
Mar 2026549
Feb 2026546
Jan 2026546
Dec 2025541
Nov 2025543
Oct 2025513
Sept 2025513
Aug 2025510
Jul 2025512
Jun 2025462
May 2025513
Apr 2025472
Mar 2025410
Feb 2025410
Jan 2025410
Dec 2024410
Nov 2024410
Oct 2024421
Sept 2024421
Aug 2024421
Jul 2024342
Jun 2024342
May 2024342
Apr 2024332
Mar 2024295
Feb 2024273
Jan 2024191
Dec 2023191
Nov 2023191
Oct 2023222
Sept 2023237
Aug 2023274
Jul 2023237
Jun 2023237
May 2023231
Apr 2023291
Mar 2023332
Feb 2023332
Jan 2023321
Dec 2022332
Nov 2022332
Oct 2022383
Sept 2022370
Aug 2022383
Jul 2022344
Jun 2022332
May 2022274
Apr 2022255
Mar 2022255
Feb 2022255
Jan 2022255
Dec 2021255
Nov 2021242
Oct 2021255
Sept 2021205
Aug 2021205
Jul 2021205
Jun 2021194
May 2021179
Apr 2021179
Mar 2021155
Feb 2021179
Jan 2021153
Dec 2020140
Nov 2020150
Oct 2020179
Sept 2020179
Aug 2020179
Jul 2020179
Jun 2020179
May 2020153
Apr 2020153
Mar 2020153
Feb 2020149
Jan 2020140
Dec 2019140
Nov 2019153
Oct 2019153
Sept 2019179
Aug 2019168
Jul 2019136
Jun 2019147
May 2019140
Apr 2019140
Mar 2019140
Feb 2019150
Jan 2019157
Dec 2018160
Nov 2018160
Oct 2018200
Sept 2018200
Aug 2018197
Jul 2018186
Jun 2018173
May 2018173
Apr 2018168
Mar 2018178
Feb 2018154
Jan 2018165
Dec 2017149
Nov 2017144
Oct 2017135
Sept 2017144
Aug 2017162
Jul 2017151
Jun 2017147
May 2017137
Apr 2017130
Mar 2017106
Feb 2017106
Jan 2017106
Dec 2016106
Nov 2016106
Oct 2016106
Sept 2016144
Aug 2016144
Jul 2016144
Jun 2016144
May 2016144
Apr 2016144
Mar 2016138
Feb 2016115
Jan 2016115
Dec 2015115
Nov 2015114
Oct 2015115
Sept 2015144
Aug 2015144
Jul 2015135
Jun 2015135
May 2015142
Apr 2015135
Mar 2015131
Feb 2015120
Jan 2015143

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3375-73-retail-kg.