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Beans (niebe) in Gounghin

CENTRE, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

349–512

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

347–559

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 349 and 512 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 347 and 559 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Gounghin: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 349 and 512 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 347 and 559 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 415–480 445 381–502 567 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 384–495 445 356–538 543 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 349–512 432 254–563 524 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 332–532 426 256–636 521 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 347–559 444 298–618 545 –
Price history (138 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026455
Aug 2026453
Jul 2026432
Jun 2026450
May 2026484
Apr 2026470
Mar 2026478
Feb 2026479
Jan 2026473
Dec 2025429
Nov 2025494
Oct 2025517
Sept 2025593
Aug 2025616
Jul 2025667
Jun 2025680
May 2025722
Apr 2025694
Mar 2025667
Feb 2025667
Jan 2025671
Dec 2024521
Nov 2024576
Oct 2024677
Sept 2024810
Aug 2024645
Jul 2024612
Jun 2024578
May 2024538
Apr 2024507
Mar 2024484
Feb 2024443
Jan 2024404
Dec 2023407
Nov 2023379
Oct 2023364
Sept 2023336
Aug 2023347
Jul 2023371
Jun 2023368
May 2023365
Apr 2023377
Mar 2023398
Feb 2023394
Jan 2023371
Dec 2022411
Nov 2022413
Oct 2022485
Sept 2022521
Aug 2022585
Jul 2022559
Jun 2022578
May 2022572
Apr 2022546
Mar 2022551
Feb 2022551
Jan 2022554
Dec 2021551
Nov 2021559
Oct 2021561
Sept 2021585
Aug 2021546
Jul 2021476
Jun 2021422
May 2021476
Apr 2021433
Mar 2021420
Feb 2021382
Jan 2021370
Dec 2020364
Nov 2020350
Oct 2020362
Sept 2020356
Aug 2020349
Jul 2020357
Jun 2020357
May 2020357
Apr 2020356
Mar 2020354
Feb 2020357
Jan 2020354
Dec 2019329
Nov 2019298
Oct 2019263
Sept 2019279
Aug 2019291
Jul 2019325
Jun 2019343
May 2019357
Apr 2019357
Mar 2019357
Feb 2019357
Jan 2019357
Dec 2018357
Nov 2018357
Oct 2018379
Sept 2018400
Aug 2018430
Jul 2018433
Jun 2018434
May 2018424
Apr 2018425
Mar 2018430
Feb 2018440
Jan 2018420
Dec 2017393
Nov 2017395
Oct 2017405
Sept 2017411
Aug 2017388
Jul 2017390
Jun 2017399
May 2017399
Apr 2017399
Mar 2017413
Feb 2017400
Jan 2017362
Dec 2016345
Nov 2016345
Oct 2016352
Sept 2016344
Aug 2016344
Jul 2016320
Jun 2016344
May 2016344
Apr 2016344
Feb 2016305
Jan 2016313
Dec 2015281
Nov 2015281
Oct 2015308
Sept 2015303
Aug 2015311
Jul 2015303
May 2015266
Apr 2015265
Feb 2015250
Jan 2015250

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3376-120-retail-kg.