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Maize (white) in Gounghin

CENTRE, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

157–208

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

146–215

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 157 and 208 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 146 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Gounghin: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 157 and 208 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 146 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 175–205 189 164–206 295 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 171–208 188 149–214 285 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 157–208 188 124–223 272 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 152–214 188 121–218 272 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 146–215 187 105–222 274 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026207
Aug 2026188
Jul 2026173
Jun 2026174
May 2026181
Apr 2026192
Mar 2026205
Feb 2026221
Jan 2026218
Dec 2025212
Nov 2025227
Oct 2025237
Sept 2025253
Aug 2025269
Jul 2025280
Jun 2025281
May 2025281
Apr 2025291
Mar 2025285
Feb 2025292
Jan 2025282
Dec 2024281
Nov 2024294
Oct 2024320
Sept 2024331
Aug 2024327
Jul 2024310
Jun 2024263
May 2024250
Apr 2024251
Mar 2024249
Feb 2024249
Jan 2024246
Dec 2023252
Nov 2023251
Oct 2023254
Sept 2023262
Aug 2023266
Jul 2023264
Jun 2023260
May 2023265
Apr 2023266
Mar 2023276
Feb 2023274
Jan 2023269
Dec 2022273
Nov 2022262
Oct 2022286
Sept 2022303
Aug 2022312
Jul 2022304
Jun 2022308
May 2022303
Apr 2022301
Mar 2022277
Feb 2022256
Jan 2022255
Dec 2021247
Nov 2021232
Oct 2021241
Sept 2021252
Aug 2021241
Jul 2021236
Jun 2021237
May 2021237
Apr 2021220
Mar 2021204
Feb 2021195
Jan 2021182
Dec 2020177
Nov 2020176
Oct 2020193
Sept 2020183
Aug 2020183
Jul 2020174
Jun 2020163
May 2020163
Apr 2020168
Mar 2020163
Feb 2020165
Jan 2020165
Dec 2019164
Nov 2019161
Oct 2019153
Sept 2019155
Aug 2019155
Jul 2019162
Jun 2019165
May 2019165
Apr 2019164
Mar 2019163
Feb 2019163
Jan 2019168
Dec 2018172
Nov 2018174
Oct 2018191
Sept 2018210
Aug 2018211
Jul 2018216
Jun 2018210
May 2018201
Apr 2018202
Mar 2018204
Feb 2018185
Jan 2018190
Dec 2017185
Nov 2017185
Oct 2017193
Sept 2017201
Aug 2017189
Jul 2017183
Jun 2017185
May 2017185
Apr 2017185
Mar 2017181
Feb 2017168
Jan 2017167
Dec 2016167
Nov 2016167
Oct 2016169
Sept 2016172
Aug 2016172
Jul 2016190
Jun 2016181
May 2016178
Apr 2016172
Mar 2016164
Feb 2016152
Jan 2016159
Dec 2015172
Nov 2015172
Oct 2015190
Sept 2015172
Aug 2015172
Jul 2015164
Jun 2015155
May 2015147
Apr 2015144
Mar 2015151
Feb 2015138
Jan 2015159

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3376-67-retail-kg.