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Millet in Gounghin

CENTRE, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

262–374

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

221–386

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 262 and 374 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 221 and 386 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Gounghin: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 262 and 374 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 221 and 386 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 279–337 306 268–360 406 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 272–353 307 242–383 401 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 262–374 307 228–423 404 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 242–374 302 190–391 386 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 221–386 297 145–504 376 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026339
Aug 2026304
Jul 2026274
Jun 2026280
May 2026271
Apr 2026268
Mar 2026281
Feb 2026286
Jan 2026295
Dec 2025310
Nov 2025316
Oct 2025324
Sept 2025348
Aug 2025353
Jul 2025388
Jun 2025392
May 2025420
Apr 2025426
Mar 2025415
Feb 2025407
Jan 2025412
Dec 2024430
Nov 2024477
Oct 2024485
Sept 2024498
Aug 2024501
Jul 2024458
Jun 2024361
May 2024347
Apr 2024351
Mar 2024346
Feb 2024352
Jan 2024361
Dec 2023351
Nov 2023351
Oct 2023349
Sept 2023344
Aug 2023347
Jul 2023348
Jun 2023344
May 2023343
Apr 2023347
Mar 2023334
Feb 2023336
Jan 2023347
Dec 2022405
Nov 2022448
Oct 2022438
Sept 2022436
Aug 2022434
Jul 2022420
Jun 2022406
May 2022378
Apr 2022382
Mar 2022370
Feb 2022319
Jan 2022294
Dec 2021295
Nov 2021292
Oct 2021262
Sept 2021264
Aug 2021255
Jul 2021256
Jun 2021271
May 2021265
Apr 2021265
Mar 2021256
Feb 2021249
Jan 2021250
Dec 2020249
Nov 2020268
Oct 2020270
Sept 2020277
Aug 2020266
Jul 2020237
Jun 2020220
May 2020219
Apr 2020218
Mar 2020210
Feb 2020212
Jan 2020212
Dec 2019212
Nov 2019212
Oct 2019207
Sept 2019207
Aug 2019222
Jul 2019228
Jun 2019231
May 2019235
Apr 2019231
Mar 2019228
Feb 2019231
Jan 2019237
Dec 2018242
Nov 2018254
Oct 2018274
Sept 2018289
Aug 2018288
Jul 2018285
Jun 2018283
May 2018283
Apr 2018283
Mar 2018283
Feb 2018286
Jan 2018283
Dec 2017289
Nov 2017300
Oct 2017300
Sept 2017300
Aug 2017292
Jul 2017266
Jun 2017268
May 2017252
Apr 2017250
Mar 2017248
Feb 2017231
Jan 2017228
Dec 2016230
Nov 2016249
Oct 2016238
Sept 2016231
Aug 2016211
Jul 2016220
Jun 2016216
May 2016220
Apr 2016207
Mar 2016207
Feb 2016207
Jan 2016207
Dec 2015207
Nov 2015217
Oct 2015224
Sept 2015224
Aug 2015228
Jul 2015224
Jun 2015216
May 2015207
Apr 2015207
Mar 2015241
Feb 2015236
Jan 2015212

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3376-73-retail-kg.