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Food basket in Gounghin

CENTRE, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,823–5,364

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

3,338–5,555

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,463 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,823 and 5,364 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,338 and 5,555 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Gounghin: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,463 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,823 and 5,364 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,338 and 5,555 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 4,152–4,846 4,471 3,997–5,163
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 4,017–5,045 4,497 3,618–5,398
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,823–5,364 4,454 3,377–6,049
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,589–5,308 4,391 2,875–5,666
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 3,338–5,555 4,361 2,418–6,939
Cost history (138 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,887
Aug 20264,463
Jul 20264,066
Jun 20264,170
May 20264,123
Apr 20264,062
Mar 20264,232
Feb 20264,294
Jan 20264,391
Dec 20254,492
Nov 20254,681
Oct 20254,819
Sept 20255,243
Aug 20255,345
Jul 20255,857
Jun 20255,928
May 20256,340
Apr 20256,361
Mar 20256,181
Feb 20256,085
Jan 20256,152
Dec 20246,098
Nov 20246,761
Oct 20247,039
Sept 20247,434
Aug 20247,173
Jul 20246,598
Jun 20245,372
May 20245,132
Apr 20245,125
Mar 20245,023
Feb 20245,021
Jan 20245,059
Dec 20234,945
Nov 20234,894
Oct 20234,843
Sept 20234,733
Aug 20234,789
Jul 20234,844
Jun 20234,790
May 20234,773
Apr 20234,843
Mar 20234,724
Feb 20234,741
Jan 20234,832
Dec 20225,600
Nov 20226,119
Oct 20226,129
Sept 20226,170
Aug 20226,261
Jul 20226,046
Jun 20225,912
May 20225,566
Apr 20225,567
Mar 20225,432
Feb 20224,820
Jan 20224,525
Dec 20214,532
Nov 20214,510
Oct 20214,154
Sept 20214,221
Aug 20214,043
Jul 20213,929
Jun 20214,012
May 20214,037
Apr 20213,959
Mar 20213,828
Feb 20213,676
Jan 20213,666
Dec 20203,643
Nov 20203,846
Oct 20203,892
Sept 20203,965
Aug 20203,820
Jul 20203,487
Jun 20203,283
May 20203,271
Apr 20203,257
Mar 20203,157
Feb 20203,187
Jan 20203,181
Dec 20193,136
Nov 20193,080
Oct 20192,957
Sept 20192,986
Aug 20193,188
Jul 20193,321
Jun 20193,389
May 20193,463
Apr 20193,415
Mar 20193,379
Feb 20193,415
Jan 20193,487
Dec 20183,547
Nov 20183,691
Oct 20183,970
Sept 20184,188
Aug 20184,230
Jul 20184,199
Jun 20184,177
May 20184,159
Apr 20184,161
Mar 20184,170
Feb 20184,224
Jan 20184,152
Dec 20174,175
Nov 20174,311
Oct 20174,329
Sept 20174,340
Aug 20174,202
Jul 20173,894
Jun 20173,934
May 20173,742
Apr 20173,718
Mar 20173,719
Feb 20173,492
Jan 20173,388
Dec 20163,381
Nov 20163,609
Oct 20163,490
Sept 20163,391
Aug 20163,151
Jul 20163,216
Jun 20163,211
May 20163,259
Apr 20163,103
Feb 20163,033
Jan 20163,047
Dec 20152,990
Nov 20153,110
Oct 20153,242
Sept 20153,233
Aug 20153,296
Jul 20153,233
May 20152,963
Apr 20152,961
Feb 20153,282
Jan 20152,994

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508