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Beans (niebe) in Haaba

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Stress August 2026: 21% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

298–731

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

295–869

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

40%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 21% above the usual level for that time of year (stress). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 298 and 731 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 295 and 869 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 40%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Haaba: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 21% above the usual level for that time of year (stress). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 298 and 731 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 295 and 869 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 40%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02505007501,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 1,202); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 518–738 665 420–841 575 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 322–720 493 270–891 437 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 298–731 439 288–991 390 40%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 296–786 446 261–1,171 425 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 295–869 474 175–1,202 477 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026711
Aug 2026696
Jul 2026649
Jun 2026628
May 2026594
Apr 2026524
Mar 2026449
Feb 2026428
Jan 2026409
Dec 2025336
Nov 2025335
Oct 2025433
Sept 2025716
Aug 2025802
Jul 2025754
Jun 2025702
May 2025676
Apr 2025654
Mar 2025602
Feb 2025585
Jan 2025472
Dec 2024347
Nov 2024280
Oct 2024436
Sept 2024554
Aug 2024489
Jul 2024398
Jun 2024351
May 2024334
Apr 2024326
Mar 2024341
Feb 2024329
Jan 2024268
Dec 2023253
Nov 2023254
Oct 2023266
Sept 2023287
Aug 2023291
Jul 2023403
Jun 2023438
May 2023408
Apr 2023400
Mar 2023400
Feb 2023379
Jan 2023336
Dec 2022292
Nov 2022308
Oct 2022629
Sept 2022766
Aug 2022780
Jul 2022780
Jun 2022780
May 2022739
Apr 2022681
Mar 2022613
Feb 2022557
Jan 2022518
Dec 2021513
Nov 2021516
Oct 2021510
Sept 2021415
Aug 2021485
Jul 2021485
Jun 2021452
May 2021428
Apr 2021403
Mar 2021392
Feb 2021348
Jan 2021323
Dec 2020323
Nov 2020238
Oct 2020289
Sept 2020413
Aug 2020358
Jul 2020351
Jun 2020350
May 2020351
Apr 2020352
Mar 2020327
Feb 2020324
Jan 2020318
Dec 2019270
Nov 2019255
Oct 2019218
Sept 2019262
Aug 2019279
Jul 2019267
Jun 2019278
May 2019302
Apr 2019317
Mar 2019354
Feb 2019324
Jan 2019332
Dec 2018311
Nov 2018304
Oct 2018260
Sept 2018431
Aug 2018414
Jul 2018395
Jun 2018398
May 2018372
Apr 2018401
Mar 2018394
Feb 2018394
Jan 2018381
Dec 2017369
Nov 2017305
Oct 2017287
Sept 2017414
Aug 2017343
Jul 2017324
Jun 2017293
May 2017332
Apr 2017354
Mar 2017366
Feb 2017364
Jan 2017336
Dec 2016286
Nov 2016251
Oct 2016220
Sept 2016370
Aug 2016349
Jul 2016348
Jun 2016342
May 2016322
Apr 2016316
Mar 2016326
Feb 2016309
Jan 2016263
Dec 2015237
Nov 2015220
Oct 2015175
Sept 2015329
Aug 2015329
Jul 2015309
Jun 2015331
May 2015292
Apr 2015296
Mar 2015308
Feb 2015293

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3377-120-retail-kg.