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Millet in Haaba

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

162–375

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

174–410

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

28%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 162 and 375 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 174 and 410 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 28%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Haaba: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 162 and 375 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 174 and 410 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 28%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 587); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 276–385 337 237–408 357 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 227–395 318 175–449 322 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 162–375 252 129–489 255 28%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 156–391 249 121–556 258 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 174–410 258 148–587 273 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026387
Aug 2026340
Jul 2026333
Jun 2026333
May 2026314
Apr 2026272
Mar 2026233
Feb 2026231
Jan 2026233
Dec 2025210
Nov 2025153
Oct 2025268
Sept 2025329
Aug 2025355
Jul 2025346
Jun 2025346
May 2025317
Apr 2025317
Mar 2025298
Feb 2025243
Jan 2025211
Dec 2024230
Nov 2024272
Oct 2024411
Sept 2024400
Aug 2024366
Jul 2024298
Jun 2024294
May 2024280
Apr 2024265
Mar 2024263
Feb 2024253
Jan 2024216
Dec 2023217
Nov 2023223
Oct 2023248
Sept 2023264
Aug 2023262
Jul 2023263
Jun 2023276
May 2023286
Apr 2023286
Mar 2023266
Feb 2023241
Jan 2023195
Dec 2022182
Nov 2022228
Oct 2022383
Sept 2022424
Aug 2022409
Jul 2022364
Jun 2022345
May 2022333
Apr 2022322
Mar 2022312
Feb 2022282
Jan 2022247
Dec 2021237
Nov 2021265
Oct 2021267
Sept 2021234
Aug 2021211
Jul 2021210
Jun 2021219
May 2021228
Apr 2021218
Mar 2021186
Feb 2021173
Jan 2021159
Dec 2020151
Nov 2020132
Oct 2020149
Sept 2020186
Aug 2020172
Jul 2020159
Jun 2020162
May 2020160
Apr 2020161
Mar 2020157
Feb 2020146
Jan 2020145
Dec 2019131
Nov 2019132
Oct 2019135
Sept 2019136
Aug 2019161
Jul 2019162
Jun 2019172
May 2019181
Apr 2019186
Mar 2019186
Feb 2019189
Jan 2019176
Dec 2018156
Nov 2018160
Oct 2018185
Sept 2018247
Aug 2018260
Jul 2018246
Jun 2018245
May 2018237
Apr 2018234
Mar 2018232
Feb 2018236
Jan 2018240
Dec 2017205
Nov 2017160
Oct 2017214
Sept 2017237
Aug 2017213
Jul 2017189
Jun 2017184
May 2017171
Apr 2017174
Mar 2017155
Feb 2017135
Jan 2017132
Dec 2016132
Nov 2016132
Oct 2016152
Sept 2016189
Aug 2016182
Jul 2016175
Jun 2016171
May 2016175
Apr 2016170
Mar 2016161
Feb 2016148
Jan 2016144
Dec 2015143
Nov 2015134
Oct 2015166
Sept 2015208
Aug 2015212
Jul 2015207
Jun 2015183
May 2015190
Apr 2015190
Mar 2015192
Feb 2015179
Jan 2015170

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3377-73-retail-kg.