Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Food basket in Haaba

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,608–5,704

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,657–6,297

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 5,333 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,608 and 5,704 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,657 and 6,297 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Haaba: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 5,333 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,608 and 5,704 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,657 and 6,297 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,745); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 4,414–5,875 5,186 3,852–6,321
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,406–5,900 4,686 2,736–6,855
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,608–5,704 3,894 2,230–7,122
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,596–6,248 3,951 2,110–9,049
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,657–6,297 3,997 2,201–9,745
Cost history (137 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20265,924
Aug 20265,333
Jul 20265,164
Jun 20265,126
May 20264,837
Apr 20264,207
Mar 20263,604
Feb 20263,542
Jan 20263,532
Nov 20252,439
Oct 20253,995
Sept 20255,237
Aug 20255,704
Jul 20255,509
Jun 20255,416
May 20255,021
Apr 20254,981
Mar 20254,660
Feb 20253,969
Jan 20253,382
Dec 20243,385
Nov 20243,768
Oct 20245,717
Sept 20245,797
Aug 20245,272
Jul 20244,292
Jun 20244,160
May 20243,961
Apr 20243,767
Mar 20243,770
Feb 20243,628
Jan 20243,074
Nov 20233,133
Oct 20233,455
Sept 20233,685
Aug 20233,668
Jul 20233,881
Jun 20234,100
May 20234,166
Apr 20234,152
Mar 20233,912
Feb 20233,574
Jan 20232,945
Nov 20223,290
Oct 20225,728
Sept 20226,467
Aug 20226,312
Jul 20225,772
Jun 20225,544
May 20225,326
Apr 20225,090
Mar 20224,847
Feb 20224,387
Jan 20223,896
Dec 20213,767
Nov 20214,109
Oct 20214,122
Sept 20213,555
Aug 20213,405
Jul 20213,393
Jun 20213,442
May 20213,506
Apr 20213,341
Mar 20212,938
Feb 20212,702
Jan 20212,489
Dec 20202,393
Nov 20202,012
Oct 20202,308
Sept 20202,975
Aug 20202,708
Jul 20202,540
Jun 20202,574
May 20202,552
Apr 20202,566
Mar 20202,473
Feb 20202,335
Jan 20202,312
Dec 20192,058
Nov 20192,043
Oct 20192,012
Sept 20192,104
Aug 20192,434
Jul 20192,425
Jun 20192,564
May 20192,716
Apr 20192,803
Mar 20192,869
Feb 20192,851
Jan 20192,710
Dec 20182,432
Nov 20182,467
Oct 20182,688
Sept 20183,740
Aug 20183,865
Jul 20183,663
Jun 20183,656
May 20183,514
Apr 20183,530
Mar 20183,493
Feb 20183,541
Jan 20183,566
Dec 20173,124
Nov 20172,469
Oct 20173,085
Sept 20173,589
Aug 20173,173
Jul 20172,851
Jun 20172,735
May 20172,650
Apr 20172,725
Mar 20172,519
Feb 20172,275
Jan 20172,189
Dec 20162,099
Nov 20162,036
Oct 20162,220
Sept 20162,934
Aug 20162,812
Jul 20162,726
Jun 20162,668
May 20162,680
Apr 20162,609
Mar 20162,519
Feb 20162,332
Jan 20162,201
Dec 20152,143
Nov 20152,004
Oct 20152,307
Sept 20153,088
Aug 20153,136
Jul 20153,040
Jun 20152,792
May 20152,806
Apr 20152,813
Mar 20152,858
Feb 20152,675

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508