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Beans (niebe) in Hamélé

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

292–485

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

294–568

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 292 and 485 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 294 and 568 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Hamélé: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 292 and 485 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 294 and 568 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 390–461 426 328–517 619 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 353–492 429 265–584 563 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 292–485 376 219–601 463 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 276–513 406 129–574 508 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 294–568 422 175–594 540 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026422
Aug 2026427
Jul 2026429
Jun 2026431
May 2026436
Apr 2026464
Mar 2026473
Feb 2026448
Jan 2026465
Dec 2025414
Nov 2025425
Oct 2025511
Sept 2025633
Aug 2025702
Jul 2025697
Jun 2025705
May 2025721
Apr 2025714
Mar 2025746
Feb 2025737
Jan 2025742
Dec 2024571
Nov 2024496
Oct 2024754
Sept 2024862
Aug 2024687
Jul 2024601
Jun 2024536
May 2024536
Apr 2024500
Mar 2024483
Feb 2024421
Jan 2024367
Dec 2023323
Nov 2023319
Oct 2023306
Sept 2023345
Aug 2023345
Jul 2023342
Jun 2023337
May 2023390
Apr 2023392
Mar 2023392
Feb 2023390
Jan 2023391
Dec 2022379
Nov 2022333
Oct 2022457
Sept 2022517
Aug 2022533
Jul 2022533
Jun 2022524
May 2022526
Apr 2022526
Mar 2022528
Feb 2022522
Jan 2022518
Dec 2021527
Nov 2021401
Oct 2021488
Sept 2021571
Aug 2021536
Jul 2021477
Jun 2021461
May 2021427
Apr 2021443
Mar 2021431
Feb 2021425
Jan 2021379
Dec 2020379
Nov 2020355
Oct 2020367
Sept 2020351
Aug 2020345
Jul 2020345
Jun 2020345
May 2020345
Mar 2020345
Feb 2020345
Jan 2020276
Dec 2019280
Nov 2019261
Oct 2019291
Sept 2019287
Aug 2019268
Jul 2019327
Jun 2019323
May 2019264
Apr 2019328
Mar 2019328
Feb 2019316
Jan 2019310
Dec 2018321
Nov 2018280
Oct 2018413
Sept 2018455
Aug 2018430
Jul 2018399
Jun 2018382
May 2018365
Apr 2018365
Mar 2018381
Feb 2018393
Jan 2018326
Dec 2017304
Nov 2017280
Oct 2017357
Sept 2017364
Aug 2017376
Jul 2017368
Jun 2017374
May 2017379
Apr 2017371
Mar 2017345
Feb 2017348
Jan 2017298
Dec 2016274
Nov 2016263
Oct 2016297
Sept 2016339
Jul 2016363
Jun 2016366
May 2016362
Apr 2016357
Mar 2016388
Feb 2016366
Jan 2016286
Dec 2015268
Nov 2015259
Oct 2015339
Sept 2015357
Aug 2015357
Jul 2015357
Jun 2015346
May 2015321
Apr 2015310
Mar 2015286
Feb 2015250
Jan 2015214

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3378-120-retail-kg.