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Beans (niebe) in Houndé

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 24% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

267–460

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

280–555

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 267 and 460 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 280 and 555 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Houndé: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 267 and 460 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 280 and 555 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 350–438 395 316–488 559 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 279–455 371 230–485 442 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 267–460 361 218–553 438 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 260–494 383 171–585 473 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 280–555 397 208–658 523 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026400
Aug 2026395
Jul 2026406
Jun 2026405
May 2026400
Apr 2026424
Mar 2026433
Feb 2026410
Jan 2026433
Dec 2025432
Nov 2025399
Oct 2025363
Sept 2025550
Aug 2025483
Jul 2025562
Jun 2025727
May 2025727
Apr 2025735
Mar 2025742
Feb 2025735
Jan 2025577
Dec 2024450
Nov 2024423
Oct 2024511
Sept 2024752
Aug 2024647
Jul 2024565
Jun 2024537
May 2024508
Apr 2024487
Mar 2024453
Feb 2024438
Jan 2024448
Dec 2023323
Nov 2023267
Oct 2023270
Sept 2023335
Aug 2023343
Jul 2023353
Jun 2023309
May 2023330
Apr 2023328
Mar 2023351
Feb 2023359
Jan 2023381
Dec 2022404
Nov 2022366
Oct 2022338
Sept 2022374
Aug 2022462
Jul 2022462
Jun 2022505
May 2022509
Apr 2022527
Mar 2022489
Feb 2022478
Jan 2022476
Dec 2021451
Nov 2021414
Oct 2021383
Sept 2021568
Aug 2021388
Jul 2021387
Jun 2021360
May 2021323
Apr 2021323
Mar 2021331
Feb 2021328
Jan 2021297
Dec 2020277
Nov 2020261
Oct 2020265
Sept 2020306
Aug 2020333
Jul 2020300
Jun 2020297
May 2020302
Apr 2020267
Mar 2020244
Feb 2020259
Jan 2020256
Dec 2019206
Nov 2019202
Oct 2019246
Sept 2019302
Aug 2019270
Jul 2019257
Jun 2019269
May 2019283
Apr 2019302
Mar 2019321
Feb 2019289
Jan 2019282
Dec 2018272
Nov 2018260
Oct 2018235
Sept 2018284
Aug 2018306
Jul 2018303
Jun 2018311
May 2018323
Apr 2018319
Mar 2018311
Feb 2018300
Jan 2018300
Dec 2017269
Nov 2017260
Oct 2017270
Sept 2017325
Aug 2017332
Jul 2017324
Jun 2017324
May 2017338
Apr 2017334
Mar 2017335
Feb 2017318
Jan 2017297
Dec 2016297
Nov 2016270
Oct 2016270
Sept 2016303
Aug 2016335
Jul 2016311
Jun 2016328
May 2016328
Apr 2016328
Mar 2016328
Feb 2016294
Jan 2016230
Dec 2015219
Nov 2015219
Oct 2015284
Sept 2015328
Aug 2015328
Jul 2015328
Jun 2015328
May 2015311
Apr 2015301
Mar 2015291
Feb 2015280

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3379-120-retail-kg.