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Maize (white) in Houndé

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 37% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

88.3–139

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

90.2–153

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 88.3 and 139 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 90.2 and 153 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Houndé: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 88.3 and 139 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 90.2 and 153 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 115–140 127 106–141 214 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 96.6–138 121 69.8–152 182 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 88.3–139 115 63.4–141 172 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 87–145 120 54.3–172 183 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 90.2–153 123 62.5–189 192 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026131
Aug 2026128
Jul 2026116
Jun 2026110
May 2026114
Apr 2026125
Mar 2026126
Feb 2026125
Jan 2026126
Dec 2025131
Nov 2025131
Oct 2025138
Sept 2025149
Aug 2025178
Jun 2025229
May 2025232
Apr 2025240
Mar 2025233
Feb 2025229
Jan 2025213
Dec 2024201
Nov 2024183
Oct 2024235
Sept 2024263
Aug 2024243
Jul 2024238
Jun 2024198
May 2024195
Apr 2024188
Mar 2024182
Feb 2024173
Jan 2024170
Dec 2023172
Nov 2023165
Oct 2023171
Sept 2023193
Aug 2023193
Jul 2023188
Jun 2023170
May 2023190
Apr 2023194
Mar 2023195
Feb 2023208
Jan 2023204
Dec 2022182
Nov 2022168
Oct 2022156
Sept 2022229
Aug 2022235
Jul 2022229
Jun 2022235
May 2022245
Apr 2022252
Mar 2022213
Feb 2022198
Jan 2022195
Dec 2021192
Nov 2021168
Oct 2021176
Sept 2021200
Aug 2021184
Jul 2021175
Jun 2021175
May 2021175
Apr 2021165
Mar 2021151
Feb 2021149
Jan 2021135
Dec 2020121
Nov 2020118
Oct 2020132
Sept 2020141
Aug 2020136
Jul 2020128
Jun 2020113
May 2020110
Apr 2020101
Mar 2020100
Feb 202096
Jan 202099
Dec 201994
Nov 201981
Oct 201989
Sept 201990
Aug 201993
Jul 201995
Jun 201999
May 2019106
Apr 2019105
Mar 2019106
Feb 2019110
Jan 2019110
Dec 2018109
Nov 2018101
Oct 2018105
Sept 2018146
Aug 2018153
Jul 2018159
Jun 2018155
May 2018153
Apr 2018150
Mar 2018145
Feb 2018140
Jan 2018134
Dec 2017117
Nov 2017123
Oct 2017119
Sept 2017143
Aug 2017141
Jul 2017130
Jun 2017130
May 2017134
Apr 2017133
Mar 2017122
Feb 2017113
Jan 2017115
Dec 2016112
Nov 2016106
Oct 2016106
Sept 2016135
Aug 2016107
Jul 2016134
Jun 2016138
May 2016138
Apr 2016138
Mar 2016126
Feb 2016113
Jan 2016110
Dec 2015110
Nov 2015110
Oct 2015121
Sept 2015125
Aug 2015129
Jul 2015134
Jun 2015134
May 2015123
Apr 2015106
Mar 201598
Feb 2015100
Jan 2015100

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3379-67-retail-kg.