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Beans (niebe) in Kombissiri

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

253–433

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

270–530

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 253 and 433 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 270 and 530 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Kombissiri: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 253 and 433 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 270 and 530 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 329–431 380 300–473 510 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 268–433 346 210–533 416 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 253–433 334 205–555 403 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 247–473 354 146–570 440 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 270–530 378 185–534 499 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026402
Aug 2026380
Jul 2026361
Jun 2026332
May 2026389
Apr 2026383
Mar 2026355
Feb 2026408
Jan 2026416
Dec 2025360
Nov 2025396
Oct 2025365
Sept 2025536
Aug 2025533
Jul 2025534
Jun 2025620
May 2025613
Apr 2025612
Mar 2025645
Feb 2025624
Jan 2025712
Dec 2024541
Nov 2024452
Oct 2024498
Sept 2024761
Aug 2024634
Jul 2024556
Jun 2024495
May 2024456
Apr 2024443
Mar 2024425
Feb 2024408
Jan 2024402
Dec 2023353
Nov 2023305
Oct 2023295
Sept 2023318
Aug 2023288
Jul 2023288
Jun 2023310
May 2023315
Apr 2023281
Mar 2023319
Feb 2023324
Jan 2023338
Dec 2022331
Nov 2022287
Oct 2022341
Sept 2022431
Aug 2022504
Jul 2022544
Jun 2022545
May 2022477
Apr 2022513
Mar 2022537
Feb 2022469
Jan 2022428
Dec 2021467
Nov 2021433
Oct 2021386
Sept 2021482
Aug 2021457
Jul 2021403
Jun 2021396
May 2021396
Apr 2021300
Mar 2021373
Feb 2021363
Jan 2021375
Dec 2020293
Nov 2020263
Oct 2020283
Sept 2020292
Aug 2020329
Jul 2020301
Jun 2020323
May 2020335
Apr 2020315
Mar 2020282
Feb 2020313
Jan 2020323
Dec 2019273
Nov 2019241
Oct 2019212
Sept 2019216
Aug 2019375
Jul 2019235
Jun 2019210
May 2019275
Apr 2019270
Mar 2019307
Feb 2019313
Jan 2019282
Dec 2018247
Nov 2018227
Oct 2018257
Sept 2018372
Aug 2018365
Jul 2018380
Jun 2018366
May 2018352
Apr 2018354
Mar 2018365
Feb 2018380
Jan 2018371
Dec 2017337
Nov 2017305
Oct 2017323
Sept 2017381
Aug 2017347
Jul 2017320
Jun 2017335
May 2017324
Apr 2017339
Mar 2017331
Feb 2017338
Jan 2017320
Dec 2016281
Nov 2016276
Oct 2016322
Sept 2016360
Aug 2016371
Jul 2016372
Jun 2016376
May 2016388
Apr 2016365
Mar 2016366
Feb 2016350
Jan 2016337
Dec 2015338
Nov 2015280
Oct 2015342
Sept 2015351
Aug 2015320
Jul 2015300
Jun 2015291
May 2015300
Apr 2015264
Mar 2015283
Feb 2015261
Jan 2015244

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3380-120-retail-kg.