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Sorghum (white) in Kombissiri

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

107–166

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

109–176

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 107 and 166 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 109 and 176 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Kombissiri: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 107 and 166 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 109 and 176 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 131–163 148 118–167 209 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 116–164 145 94.6–171 192 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 107–166 141 70.8–172 184 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 103–172 140 69.6–196 183 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 109–176 144 81.4–208 196 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026173
Aug 2026148
Jul 2026147
Jun 2026150
May 2026166
Apr 2026157
Mar 2026148
Feb 2026160
Jan 2026151
Dec 2025139
Nov 2025149
Oct 2025162
Sept 2025158
Aug 2025194
Jul 2025215
Jun 2025226
May 2025211
Apr 2025213
Mar 2025219
Feb 2025222
Jan 2025209
Dec 2024190
Nov 2024206
Oct 2024233
Sept 2024258
Aug 2024258
Jul 2024244
Jun 2024218
May 2024220
Apr 2024217
Mar 2024211
Feb 2024181
Jan 2024189
Dec 2023190
Nov 2023173
Oct 2023186
Sept 2023198
Aug 2023218
Jul 2023191
Jun 2023210
May 2023205
Apr 2023185
Mar 2023209
Feb 2023217
Jan 2023214
Dec 2022191
Nov 2022196
Oct 2022224
Sept 2022258
Aug 2022270
Jul 2022265
Jun 2022251
May 2022238
Apr 2022246
Mar 2022227
Feb 2022185
Jan 2022178
Dec 2021158
Nov 2021158
Oct 2021146
Sept 2021162
Aug 2021162
Jul 2021155
Jun 2021162
May 2021160
Apr 2021159
Mar 2021145
Feb 2021142
Jan 2021125
Dec 2020119
Nov 2020116
Oct 2020116
Sept 2020123
Aug 2020125
Jul 2020118
Jun 2020113
May 2020109
Apr 2020105
Mar 2020105
Feb 2020102
Jan 2020100
Dec 201995
Nov 2019100
Oct 2019102
Sept 201998
Aug 201999
Jul 2019104
Jun 2019111
May 2019117
Apr 2019121
Mar 2019125
Feb 2019124
Jan 2019125
Dec 2018124
Nov 2018120
Oct 2018127
Sept 2018156
Aug 2018179
Jul 2018185
Jun 2018171
May 2018165
Apr 2018164
Mar 2018175
Feb 2018181
Jan 2018177
Dec 2017156
Nov 2017147
Oct 2017149
Sept 2017172
Aug 2017178
Jul 2017155
Jun 2017172
May 2017171
Apr 2017166
Mar 2017158
Feb 2017149
Jan 2017142
Dec 2016135
Nov 2016138
Oct 2016139
Sept 2016157
Aug 2016155
Jul 2016132
Jun 2016138
May 2016138
Apr 2016137
Mar 2016134
Feb 2016118
Jan 2016115
Dec 2015115
Nov 2015119
Oct 2015128
Sept 2015141
Aug 2015138
Jul 2015136
Jun 2015145
May 2015140
Apr 2015147
Mar 2015133
Feb 2015123
Jan 2015131

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3380-135-retail-kg.