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Maize (white) in Kombissiri

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 33% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

107–161

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

103–179

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 107 and 161 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 103 and 179 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kombissiri: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 107 and 161 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 103 and 179 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 131–161 144 122–166 227 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 118–163 144 102–171 209 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 107–161 139 88.6–174 196 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 103–170 140 83–218 200 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 103–179 143 68.2–250 206 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026157
Aug 2026143
Jul 2026139
Jun 2026127
May 2026152
Apr 2026146
Mar 2026146
Feb 2026154
Jan 2026151
Dec 2025146
Nov 2025149
Oct 2025168
Sept 2025156
Aug 2025177
Jul 2025223
Jun 2025237
May 2025220
Apr 2025229
Mar 2025228
Feb 2025231
Jan 2025221
Dec 2024220
Nov 2024214
Oct 2024250
Sept 2024303
Aug 2024277
Jul 2024259
Jun 2024222
May 2024229
Apr 2024214
Mar 2024211
Feb 2024197
Jan 2024216
Dec 2023200
Nov 2023177
Oct 2023215
Sept 2023233
Aug 2023214
Jul 2023234
Jun 2023230
May 2023233
Apr 2023219
Mar 2023250
Feb 2023235
Jan 2023225
Dec 2022212
Nov 2022197
Oct 2022230
Sept 2022248
Aug 2022255
Jul 2022251
Jun 2022245
May 2022243
Apr 2022244
Mar 2022214
Feb 2022208
Jan 2022204
Dec 2021193
Nov 2021190
Oct 2021184
Sept 2021181
Aug 2021190
Jul 2021183
Jun 2021183
May 2021189
Apr 2021175
Mar 2021166
Feb 2021156
Jan 2021139
Dec 2020126
Nov 2020124
Oct 2020128
Sept 2020134
Aug 2020131
Jul 2020127
Jun 2020120
May 2020124
Apr 2020119
Mar 2020120
Feb 2020117
Jan 2020121
Dec 2019122
Nov 2019120
Oct 2019116
Sept 2019121
Aug 2019121
Jul 2019116
Jun 2019112
May 2019118
Apr 2019127
Mar 2019126
Feb 2019129
Jan 2019128
Dec 2018129
Nov 2018125
Oct 2018131
Sept 2018180
Aug 2018185
Jul 2018174
Jun 2018177
May 2018168
Apr 2018162
Mar 2018235
Feb 2018191
Jan 2018160
Dec 2017155
Nov 2017153
Oct 2017146
Sept 2017172
Aug 2017164
Jul 2017156
Jun 2017160
May 2017159
Apr 2017149
Mar 2017143
Feb 2017144
Jan 2017138
Dec 2016144
Nov 2016156
Oct 2016167
Sept 2016164
Aug 2016172
Jul 2016170
Jun 2016177
May 2016170
Apr 2016160
Mar 2016162
Feb 2016151
Jan 2016148
Dec 2015147
Nov 2015152
Oct 2015160
Sept 2015162
Aug 2015155
Jul 2015157
Jun 2015158
May 2015158
Apr 2015135
Mar 2015152
Feb 2015124
Jan 2015146

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3380-67-retail-kg.