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Millet in Kombissiri

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

203–329

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

169–337

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 203 and 329 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 169 and 337 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Kombissiri: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 203 and 329 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 169 and 337 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 229–292 258 203–315 351 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 214–310 261 167–339 345 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 203–329 259 140–378 347 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 174–319 250 104–398 312 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 169–337 251 88.5–460 321 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026282
Aug 2026258
Jul 2026225
Jun 2026229
May 2026255
Apr 2026240
Mar 2026244
Feb 2026235
Jan 2026246
Dec 2025248
Nov 2025272
Oct 2025282
Sept 2025287
Aug 2025287
Jul 2025361
Jun 2025368
May 2025365
Apr 2025378
Mar 2025396
Feb 2025336
Jan 2025330
Dec 2024298
Nov 2024398
Oct 2024422
Sept 2024450
Aug 2024447
Jul 2024349
Jun 2024312
May 2024302
Apr 2024288
Mar 2024298
Feb 2024265
Jan 2024295
Dec 2023268
Nov 2023283
Oct 2023289
Sept 2023306
Aug 2023286
Jul 2023296
Jun 2023333
May 2023321
Apr 2023308
Mar 2023303
Feb 2023317
Jan 2023287
Dec 2022275
Nov 2022396
Oct 2022402
Sept 2022409
Aug 2022390
Jul 2022364
Jun 2022339
May 2022341
Apr 2022346
Mar 2022277
Feb 2022250
Jan 2022249
Dec 2021243
Nov 2021250
Oct 2021233
Sept 2021225
Aug 2021236
Jul 2021235
Jun 2021234
May 2021254
Apr 2021259
Mar 2021246
Feb 2021236
Jan 2021243
Dec 2020230
Nov 2020212
Oct 2020220
Sept 2020216
Aug 2020208
Jul 2020204
Jun 2020204
May 2020207
Apr 2020182
Mar 2020173
Feb 2020174
Jan 2020182
Dec 2019178
Nov 2019174
Oct 2019171
Sept 2019165
Aug 2019168
Jul 2019175
Jun 2019171
May 2019170
Apr 2019168
Mar 2019171
Feb 2019177
Jan 2019198
Dec 2018210
Nov 2018218
Oct 2018218
Sept 2018244
Aug 2018241
Jul 2018248
Jun 2018251
May 2018255
Apr 2018242
Mar 2018254
Feb 2018261
Jan 2018239
Dec 2017221
Nov 2017276
Oct 2017248
Sept 2017248
Aug 2017237
Jul 2017222
Jun 2017222
May 2017219
Apr 2017207
Mar 2017199
Feb 2017194
Jan 2017189
Dec 2016202
Nov 2016214
Oct 2016208
Sept 2016209
Aug 2016217
Jul 2016228
Jun 2016235
May 2016229
Apr 2016219
Mar 2016218
Feb 2016205
Jan 2016202
Dec 2015204
Nov 2015201
Oct 2015221
Sept 2015221
Aug 2015228
Jul 2015199
Jun 2015204
May 2015200
Apr 2015181
Mar 2015192
Feb 2015191
Jan 2015175

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3380-73-retail-kg.