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Food basket in Kombissiri

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,925–4,642

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,507–4,950

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,780 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,925 and 4,642 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,507 and 4,950 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Kombissiri: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,780 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,925 and 4,642 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,507 and 4,950 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,374–4,200 3,783 3,074–4,499
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,099–4,415 3,748 2,560–4,848
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,925–4,642 3,696 2,103–5,311
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,584–4,560 3,620 1,707–5,322
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,507–4,950 3,734 1,595–6,792
Cost history (141 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,108
Aug 20263,780
Jul 20263,350
Jun 20263,346
May 20263,760
Apr 20263,569
Mar 20263,567
Feb 20263,554
Jan 20263,701
Dec 20253,624
Nov 20253,977
Oct 20254,041
Sept 20254,409
Aug 20254,403
Jul 20255,293
Jun 20255,532
May 20255,483
Apr 20255,638
Mar 20255,913
Feb 20255,155
Jan 20255,242
Dec 20244,550
Nov 20245,590
Oct 20245,960
Sept 20246,770
Aug 20246,505
Jul 20245,189
Jun 20244,635
May 20244,445
Apr 20244,253
Mar 20244,341
Feb 20243,914
Jan 20244,264
Dec 20233,851
Nov 20233,945
Oct 20233,999
Sept 20234,244
Aug 20233,950
Jul 20234,070
Jun 20234,554
May 20234,419
Apr 20234,202
Mar 20234,210
Feb 20234,387
Jan 20234,052
Dec 20223,896
Nov 20225,269
Oct 20225,438
Sept 20225,684
Aug 20225,587
Jul 20225,347
Jun 20225,049
May 20224,951
Apr 20225,075
Mar 20224,291
Feb 20223,844
Jan 20223,758
Dec 20213,757
Nov 20213,779
Oct 20213,491
Sept 20213,568
Aug 20213,655
Jul 20213,545
Jun 20213,521
May 20213,761
Apr 20213,648
Mar 20213,623
Feb 20213,485
Jan 20213,591
Dec 20203,287
Nov 20203,017
Oct 20203,149
Sept 20203,118
Aug 20203,088
Jul 20202,990
Jun 20203,029
May 20203,087
Apr 20202,751
Mar 20202,584
Feb 20202,651
Jan 20202,765
Dec 20192,627
Nov 20192,522
Oct 20192,434
Sept 20192,369
Aug 20192,691
Jul 20192,523
Jun 20192,430
May 20192,535
Apr 20192,502
Mar 20192,605
Feb 20192,687
Jan 20192,884
Dec 20182,965
Nov 20183,025
Oct 20183,079
Sept 20183,598
Aug 20183,549
Jul 20183,660
Jun 20183,671
May 20183,694
Apr 20183,541
Mar 20183,705
Feb 20183,816
Jan 20183,536
Dec 20173,259
Nov 20173,861
Oct 20173,557
Sept 20173,662
Aug 20173,469
Jul 20173,240
Jun 20173,267
May 20173,211
Apr 20173,094
Mar 20172,984
Feb 20172,936
Jan 20172,844
Dec 20162,930
Nov 20163,065
Oct 20163,076
Sept 20163,156
Aug 20163,272
Jul 20163,406
Jun 20163,497
May 20163,446
Apr 20163,285
Mar 20163,275
Feb 20163,090
Jan 20163,031
Dec 20153,056
Nov 20152,916
Oct 20153,268
Sept 20153,284
Aug 20153,312
Jul 20152,928
Jun 20152,972
May 20152,940
Apr 20152,647
Mar 20152,813
Feb 20152,762
Jan 20152,539

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508