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Beans (niebe) in Kompienga

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 69% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

108–266

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

112–312

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 69% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 32% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 108 and 266 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 112 and 312 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Kompienga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 69% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 32% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 108 and 266 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 112 and 312 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).05001,0001,500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 151–256 189 135–305 560 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 119–267 168 75.9–322 454 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 108–266 161 70–309 431 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 112–292 167 64–377 486 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 112–312 181 58.2–377 524 –
Price history (133 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026163
Aug 2026175
Jul 2026212
Jun 2026227
May 2026256
Apr 2026247
Mar 2026226
Feb 2026213
Jan 2026224
Dec 2025245
Nov 2025253
Oct 2025386
Sept 2025854
Aug 2025865
Apr 20251,029
Mar 2025880
Feb 2025898
Jan 2025886
Dec 2024708
Nov 2024636
Oct 2024785
Sept 2024800
Aug 2024822
Jul 2024752
Jun 2024656
Jan 2024600
Dec 2023503
Nov 2023470
Oct 2023425
Sept 2023446
Aug 2023411
Jul 2023397
Jun 2023407
May 2023407
Apr 2023413
Mar 2023416
Feb 2023407
Jan 2023371
Dec 2022355
Nov 2022327
Oct 2022464
Sept 2022589
Aug 2022544
Jul 2022484
Jun 2022492
May 2022495
Apr 2022495
Mar 2022495
Feb 2022495
Jan 2022495
Dec 2021433
Nov 2021404
Oct 2021376
Sept 2021493
Aug 2021500
Jul 2021507
Jun 2021503
May 2021487
Apr 2021383
Mar 2021431
Feb 2021391
Jan 2021349
Dec 2020344
Nov 2020324
Oct 2020314
Sept 2020305
Aug 2020408
Jul 2020283
Jun 2020335
May 2020328
Apr 2020341
Mar 2020310
Feb 2020312
Jan 2020324
Nov 2019211
Oct 2019195
Sept 2019212
Aug 2019242
Jul 2019214
Jun 2019171
May 2019226
Apr 2019248
Mar 2019254
Feb 2019292
Jan 2019279
Dec 2018258
Nov 2018229
Oct 2018219
Sept 2018281
Aug 2018416
Jul 2018343
Jun 2018351
May 2018393
Apr 2018352
Mar 2018345
Feb 2018340
Jan 2018319
Dec 2017290
Nov 2017247
Oct 2017230
Sept 2017277
Aug 2017388
Jul 2017339
Jun 2017331
May 2017323
Apr 2017323
Mar 2017323
Feb 2017315
Jan 2017266
Dec 2016253
Nov 2016217
Oct 2016204
Sept 2016256
Aug 2016321
Jul 2016321
Jun 2016316
May 2016321
Apr 2016321
Mar 2016321
Feb 2016317
Jan 2016292
Dec 2015256
Nov 2015199
Oct 2015192
Sept 2015347
Aug 2015381
Jul 2015358
Jun 2015322
May 2015306
Apr 2015265
Mar 2015281
Feb 2015265
Jan 2015270

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3381-120-retail-kg.