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Maize (white) in Kompienga

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 47% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

111–206

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

120–245

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 47% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 17% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 111 and 206 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 120 and 245 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kompienga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 47% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 17% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 111 and 206 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 120 and 245 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 153–200 176 130–221 338 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 129–201 167 90.4–242 290 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 111–206 165 44.8–244 287 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 120–233 175 62.3–247 348 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 120–245 179 62.9–306 353 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026162
Aug 2026171
Jul 2026174
Jun 2026189
May 2026207
Apr 2026201
Mar 2026187
Feb 2026172
Jan 2026169
Dec 2025175
Nov 2025140
Oct 2025167
Sept 2025308
Aug 2025323
Jul 2025329
Jun 2025336
May 2025352
Apr 2025351
Mar 2025350
Feb 2025347
Dec 2024431
Nov 2024397
Oct 2024404
Sept 2024322
Aug 2024322
Jul 2024318
Jun 2024322
May 2024327
Apr 2024324
Mar 2024324
Jan 2024645
Dec 2023635
Nov 2023398
Oct 2023291
Sept 2023296
Aug 2023308
Jul 2023325
Jun 2023266
May 2023256
Apr 2023252
Mar 2023244
Feb 2023245
Jan 2023242
Dec 2022221
Nov 2022190
Oct 2022186
Sept 2022222
Aug 2022228
Jul 2022202
Jun 2022196
May 2022201
Apr 2022202
Mar 2022191
Feb 2022195
Jan 2022202
Dec 2021172
Nov 2021141
Oct 2021136
Sept 2021170
Aug 2021179
Jul 2021184
Jun 2021186
May 2021158
Apr 2021151
Mar 2021137
Feb 2021125
Jan 2021110
Dec 2020106
Nov 202073
Oct 2020106
Sept 2020129
Aug 2020132
Jul 2020105
Jun 202098
May 202098
Apr 202099
Mar 202086
Feb 202096
Jan 202096
Dec 201986
Nov 201980
Oct 201979
Sept 201986
Aug 201986
Jul 201990
Jun 201984
May 201990
Apr 201993
Mar 201996
Feb 2019107
Jan 2019129
Dec 2018104
Nov 201897
Oct 201898
Sept 2018112
Aug 2018133
Jul 2018145
Jun 2018147
May 2018141
Apr 2018129
Mar 2018132
Feb 2018135
Jan 2018130
Dec 2017129
Nov 2017101
Oct 201797
Sept 2017110
Aug 2017133
Jul 2017119
Jun 2017119
May 2017129
Apr 2017120
Mar 2017114
Feb 2017107
Jan 2017109
Dec 2016110
Nov 2016106
Oct 2016102
Sept 2016123
Aug 2016129
Jul 2016131
Jun 2016137
May 2016146
Apr 2016140
Mar 2016129
Feb 2016128
Jan 2016120
Dec 2015113
Nov 2015107
Oct 2015101
Sept 2015133
Aug 2015137
Jul 2015132
Jun 2015148
May 201595
Apr 2015116
Mar 2015114
Feb 2015101
Jan 2015119

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3381-67-retail-kg.