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Millet in Kompienga

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 15% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

320–571

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

276–591

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 320 and 571 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 276 and 591 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Kompienga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 320 and 571 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 276 and 591 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 1,067); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 344–485 408 326–556 512 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 322–524 411 313–711 598 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 320–571 410 262–796 636 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 299–572 390 296–829 519 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 276–591 394 163–1,067 489 –
Price history (119 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026419
Aug 2026422
Jul 2026430
Jun 2026414
May 2026422
Apr 2026408
Mar 2026458
Feb 2026521
Jan 2026414
Dec 2025467
Nov 2025495
Oct 2025508
Sept 2025512
Aug 2025576
Jul 2025589
Jun 2025540
May 2025488
Apr 2025553
Mar 2025591
Feb 2025579
Dec 2024641
Nov 2024568
May 2024495
Apr 2024495
Mar 2024495
Aug 2023330
Jul 2023347
Jun 2023296
May 2023319
Apr 2023326
Mar 2023329
Feb 2023323
Jan 2023328
Dec 2022323
Sept 2022324
Aug 2022287
Jul 2022242
Jun 2022234
May 2022247
Apr 2022260
Mar 2022231
Feb 2022221
Jan 2022235
Dec 2021207
Sept 2021171
Aug 2021193
Jul 2021225
Jun 2021219
May 2021239
Apr 2021256
Mar 2021227
Feb 2021189
Jan 2021176
Dec 2020161
Sept 2020192
Aug 2020184
Jul 2020188
Jun 2020163
May 2020159
Apr 2020134
Mar 2020127
Feb 2020127
Jan 2020124
Dec 2019116
Sept 2019131
Aug 2019113
Jul 2019114
Jun 2019109
May 2019128
Apr 2019145
Mar 2019148
Feb 2019154
Jan 2019152
Dec 2018185
Nov 2018185
Oct 2018176
Sept 2018169
Aug 2018192
Jul 2018187
Jun 2018204
May 2018221
Apr 2018203
Mar 2018198
Feb 2018195
Jan 2018177
Dec 2017169
Oct 2017160
Sept 2017187
Aug 2017190
Jul 2017188
Jun 2017178
May 2017176
Apr 2017168
Mar 2017158
Feb 2017146
Jan 2017122
Dec 2016122
Oct 2016153
Sept 2016145
Aug 2016161
Jul 2016153
Jun 2016152
May 2016161
Apr 2016145
Mar 2016137
Feb 2016129
Jan 2016129
Dec 2015129
Nov 2015161
Oct 2015153
Sept 2015134
Aug 2015144
Jul 2015163
Jun 2015163
May 2015162
Apr 2015160
Mar 2015161
Feb 2015133
Jan 2015141

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3381-73-retail-kg.