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Maize (white) in Koupela

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 29% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

159–212

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

152–219

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 159 and 212 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 152 and 219 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Koupela: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 159 and 212 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 152 and 219 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 184–210 194 173–213 287 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 176–214 194 174–216 275 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 159–212 190 125–224 252 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 155–216 190 122–234 250 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 152–219 190 110–236 255 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026188
Aug 2026194
Jul 2026195
Jun 2026189
May 2026188
Apr 2026185
Mar 2026180
Feb 2026187
Jan 2026192
Dec 2025200
Nov 2025202
Oct 2025212
Sept 2025234
Aug 2025262
Jul 2025264
Jun 2025269
May 2025262
Apr 2025261
Mar 2025261
Feb 2025259
Jan 2025248
Dec 2024242
Nov 2024242
Oct 2024292
Sept 2024300
Aug 2024307
Jul 2024300
Jun 2024262
May 2024258
Apr 2024256
Mar 2024250
Feb 2024251
Jan 2024248
Dec 2023242
Nov 2023242
Oct 2023256
Sept 2023272
Aug 2023272
Jul 2023276
Jun 2023280
May 2023271
Apr 2023264
Mar 2023264
Feb 2023262
Jan 2023248
Dec 2022236
Nov 2022231
Oct 2022260
Sept 2022279
Aug 2022288
Jul 2022278
Jun 2022275
May 2022294
Apr 2022289
Mar 2022263
Feb 2022244
Jan 2022242
Dec 2021236
Nov 2021234
Oct 2021240
Sept 2021235
Aug 2021227
Jul 2021216
Jun 2021210
May 2021205
Apr 2021199
Mar 2021186
Feb 2021176
Jan 2021163
Dec 2020154
Nov 2020159
Oct 2020168
Sept 2020175
Aug 2020175
Jul 2020165
Jun 2020144
May 2020144
Apr 2020142
Mar 2020141
Feb 2020138
Jan 2020139
Dec 2019140
Nov 2019140
Oct 2019142
Sept 2019142
Aug 2019147
Jul 2019159
Jun 2019159
May 2019158
Apr 2019152
Mar 2019152
Feb 2019152
Jan 2019152
Dec 2018152
Nov 2018159
Oct 2018170
Sept 2018187
Aug 2018179
Jul 2018189
Jun 2018188
May 2018187
Apr 2018176
Mar 2018178
Feb 2018166
Jan 2018166
Dec 2017169
Nov 2017159
Oct 2017184
Sept 2017191
Aug 2017181
Jul 2017175
Jun 2017175
May 2017175
Apr 2017175
Mar 2017159
Feb 2017159
Jan 2017159
Dec 2016151
Nov 2016158
Oct 2016188
Sept 2016192
Aug 2016192
Jul 2016192
Jun 2016192
May 2016192
Apr 2016192
Mar 2016192
Feb 2016188
Jan 2016192
Dec 2015191
Nov 2015188
Oct 2015192
Sept 2015182
Aug 2015186
Jul 2015185
Jun 2015171
May 2015164
Apr 2015155
Mar 2015155
Feb 2015157
Jan 2015151

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3382-67-retail-kg.